**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 28–33°C on August 29 under a southwesterly airstream, with sunny intervals expected to push readings into the low 30s despite scattered showers and thunderstorms.** This pattern favors the market’s leading 32–33°C outcomes (combined ~65% implied probability), as strong insolation during breaks in cloud cover can elevate surface temperatures while higher humidity and precipitation limit further warming. Differentiation among 31–34°C hinges on the timing and extent of convective activity and cloud cover: reduced shower coverage or earlier clearing would support 33–34°C, whereas persistent overcast or earlier rain would cap the high near 31–32°C. El Niño-related warmth provides a modest background boost above August climatology (~31°C), but short-term model consensus remains the dominant driver ahead of the daily maximum reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
33°C 35%
32°C 31%
31°C 16%
34°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
16%
32°C
31%
33°C
35%
34°C
16%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 35%
32°C 31%
31°C 16%
34°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
29°C or below
$135 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$461 Vol.
4%
31°C
$109 Vol.
16%
32°C
$178 Vol.
31%
33°C
$749 Vol.
35%
34°C
$1,074 Vol.
16%
35°C
$332 Vol.
4%
36°C
$226 Vol.
1%
37°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 28–33°C on August 29 under a southwesterly airstream, with sunny intervals expected to push readings into the low 30s despite scattered showers and thunderstorms.**
This pattern favors the market’s leading 32–33°C outcomes (combined ~65% implied probability), as strong insolation during breaks in cloud cover can elevate surface temperatures while higher humidity and precipitation limit further warming. Differentiation among 31–34°C hinges on the timing and extent of convective activity and cloud cover: reduced shower coverage or earlier clearing would support 33–34°C, whereas persistent overcast or earlier rain would cap the high near 31–32°C. El Niño-related warmth provides a modest background boost above August climatology (~31°C), but short-term model consensus remains the dominant driver ahead of the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,314End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 28–33°C on August 29 under a southwesterly airstream, with sunny intervals expected to push readings into the low 30s despite scattered showers and thunderstorms.**
This pattern favors the market’s leading 32–33°C outcomes (combined ~65% implied probability), as strong insolation during breaks in cloud cover can elevate surface temperatures while higher humidity and precipitation limit further warming. Differentiation among 31–34°C hinges on the timing and extent of convective activity and cloud cover: reduced shower coverage or earlier clearing would support 33–34°C, whereas persistent overcast or earlier rain would cap the high near 31–32°C. El Niño-related warmth provides a modest background boost above August climatology (~31°C), but short-term model consensus remains the dominant driver ahead of the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,314End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 28–33°C on August 29 under a southwesterly airstream, with sunny intervals expected to push readings into the low 30s despite scattered showers and thunderstorms.** This pattern favors the market’s leading 32–33°C outcomes (combined ~65% implied probability), as strong insolation during breaks in cloud cover can elevate surface temperatures while higher humidity and precipitation limit further warming. Differentiation among 31–34°C hinges on the timing and extent of convective activity and cloud cover: reduced shower coverage or earlier clearing would support 33–34°C, whereas persistent overcast or earlier rain would cap the high near 31–32°C. El Niño-related warmth provides a modest background boost above August climatology (~31°C), but short-term model consensus remains the dominant driver ahead of the daily maximum reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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