**Forecast consensus points to a minimum temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s°F for Miami on August 29, 2026, with market-implied odds tightly clustered around the 78–81°F bins due to typical late-summer variability.** Persistent easterly trade winds, high moisture content, and scattered to likely afternoon/evening thunderstorms maintain elevated overnight lows near 80°F, consistent with National Weather Service and model guidance showing Saturday-night lows around 80–84°F under partly cloudy skies. Cloud cover and humidity limit radiational cooling, while the absence of any frontal passage or drier air keeps temperatures above seasonal norms for the date. Minor differences among forecast runs—such as exact thunderstorm timing or localized sea-breeze effects—create the narrow spread between the 78–79°F and 82–83°F outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in pinpointing the precise daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 29?
80-81°F 34%
78-79°F 30%
82-83°F 24%
76-77°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
6%
86°F or higher
2%
80-81°F 34%
78-79°F 30%
82-83°F 24%
76-77°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
67°F or below
$41 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$30 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$5 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
7%
74-75°F
$70 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$127 Vol.
12%
78-79°F
$212 Vol.
30%
80-81°F
$253 Vol.
34%
82-83°F
$342 Vol.
24%
84-85°F
$131 Vol.
6%
86°F or higher
$47 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a minimum temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s°F for Miami on August 29, 2026, with market-implied odds tightly clustered around the 78–81°F bins due to typical late-summer variability.**
Persistent easterly trade winds, high moisture content, and scattered to likely afternoon/evening thunderstorms maintain elevated overnight lows near 80°F, consistent with National Weather Service and model guidance showing Saturday-night lows around 80–84°F under partly cloudy skies. Cloud cover and humidity limit radiational cooling, while the absence of any frontal passage or drier air keeps temperatures above seasonal norms for the date. Minor differences among forecast runs—such as exact thunderstorm timing or localized sea-breeze effects—create the narrow spread between the 78–79°F and 82–83°F outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in pinpointing the precise daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,263End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a minimum temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s°F for Miami on August 29, 2026, with market-implied odds tightly clustered around the 78–81°F bins due to typical late-summer variability.**
Persistent easterly trade winds, high moisture content, and scattered to likely afternoon/evening thunderstorms maintain elevated overnight lows near 80°F, consistent with National Weather Service and model guidance showing Saturday-night lows around 80–84°F under partly cloudy skies. Cloud cover and humidity limit radiational cooling, while the absence of any frontal passage or drier air keeps temperatures above seasonal norms for the date. Minor differences among forecast runs—such as exact thunderstorm timing or localized sea-breeze effects—create the narrow spread between the 78–79°F and 82–83°F outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in pinpointing the precise daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,263End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus points to a minimum temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s°F for Miami on August 29, 2026, with market-implied odds tightly clustered around the 78–81°F bins due to typical late-summer variability.** Persistent easterly trade winds, high moisture content, and scattered to likely afternoon/evening thunderstorms maintain elevated overnight lows near 80°F, consistent with National Weather Service and model guidance showing Saturday-night lows around 80–84°F under partly cloudy skies. Cloud cover and humidity limit radiational cooling, while the absence of any frontal passage or drier air keeps temperatures above seasonal norms for the date. Minor differences among forecast runs—such as exact thunderstorm timing or localized sea-breeze effects—create the narrow spread between the 78–79°F and 82–83°F outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in pinpointing the precise daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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