Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a stationary front lingering near southern Korea, bringing scattered showers and variable cloud cover to Busan through August 30. This setup creates the primary uncertainty behind the tight 31°C (32.5%) and 32°C (32.0%) market-implied odds. Afternoon convective activity and southwest winds near 8–10 mph may limit peak insolation and cap daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms of 29–31°C, while any breaks in cloud allowing stronger solar heating could push readings to 32°C. High humidity from the front sustains elevated heat indices but also promotes rapid cooling during rain episodes. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 30?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 30?
31°C 32%
32°C 32%
33°C 19%
30°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
6%
30°C
13%
31°C
32%
32°C
32%
33°C
19%
34°C
7%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 32%
32°C 32%
33°C 19%
30°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
$40 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$40 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$20 Vol.
6%
30°C
$0 Vol.
13%
31°C
$34 Vol.
32%
32°C
$11 Vol.
32%
33°C
$30 Vol.
19%
34°C
$0 Vol.
7%
35°C
$0 Vol.
7%
36°C or higher
$38 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a stationary front lingering near southern Korea, bringing scattered showers and variable cloud cover to Busan through August 30. This setup creates the primary uncertainty behind the tight 31°C (32.5%) and 32°C (32.0%) market-implied odds. Afternoon convective activity and southwest winds near 8–10 mph may limit peak insolation and cap daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms of 29–31°C, while any breaks in cloud allowing stronger solar heating could push readings to 32°C. High humidity from the front sustains elevated heat indices but also promotes rapid cooling during rain episodes. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$212End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a stationary front lingering near southern Korea, bringing scattered showers and variable cloud cover to Busan through August 30. This setup creates the primary uncertainty behind the tight 31°C (32.5%) and 32°C (32.0%) market-implied odds. Afternoon convective activity and southwest winds near 8–10 mph may limit peak insolation and cap daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms of 29–31°C, while any breaks in cloud allowing stronger solar heating could push readings to 32°C. High humidity from the front sustains elevated heat indices but also promotes rapid cooling during rain episodes. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$212End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a stationary front lingering near southern Korea, bringing scattered showers and variable cloud cover to Busan through August 30. This setup creates the primary uncertainty behind the tight 31°C (32.5%) and 32°C (32.0%) market-implied odds. Afternoon convective activity and southwest winds near 8–10 mph may limit peak insolation and cap daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms of 29–31°C, while any breaks in cloud allowing stronger solar heating could push readings to 32°C. High humidity from the front sustains elevated heat indices but also promotes rapid cooling during rain episodes. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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