Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a 34°C high for Taipei on August 30 under sunny-to-partly-cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. Trader consensus favors 35°C as the leading outcome because ensemble model spreads show potential for reduced cloud cover or delayed showers, allowing greater solar heating and slightly elevated maximum temperatures than the baseline guidance. Key variables include steering flow strength, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that can push readings 1–2°C above regional averages. Updated CWA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 30?
35°C 46%
34°C 28%
36°C 22%
33°C 11%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
5%
33°C
11%
34°C
28%
35°C
39%
36°C
22%
37°C
6%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 46%
34°C 28%
36°C 22%
33°C 11%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
5%
33°C
11%
34°C
28%
35°C
39%
36°C
22%
37°C
6%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a 34°C high for Taipei on August 30 under sunny-to-partly-cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. Trader consensus favors 35°C as the leading outcome because ensemble model spreads show potential for reduced cloud cover or delayed showers, allowing greater solar heating and slightly elevated maximum temperatures than the baseline guidance. Key variables include steering flow strength, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that can push readings 1–2°C above regional averages. Updated CWA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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