Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies converge on a daytime maximum of 30–32°C for Karachi on August 30, 2026, reflecting the primary driver of current market-implied odds favoring 31°C. Persistent westerly winds, elevated humidity near 65–75 percent, and the absence of active monsoon low-pressure systems—linked to El Niño suppression of Arabian Sea moisture—have maintained stable late-summer temperatures without significant diurnal swings or convective cooling. Historical August averages near 30°C and recent observations showing no major deviations reinforce trader consensus around this narrow range. Updated model runs and Pakistan Meteorological Department briefings ahead of the date remain the key variables that could shift exact resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 30?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 30?
31°C 44%
30°C 28%
32°C 17%
28°C 7.3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
6%
30°C
28%
31°C
44%
32°C
17%
33°C
7%
34°C
7%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 44%
30°C 28%
32°C 17%
28°C 7.3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
$27 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$20 Vol.
7%
29°C
$74 Vol.
6%
30°C
$40 Vol.
28%
31°C
$34 Vol.
44%
32°C
$18 Vol.
17%
33°C
$0 Vol.
7%
34°C
$0 Vol.
7%
35°C
$0 Vol.
7%
36°C or higher
$11 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies converge on a daytime maximum of 30–32°C for Karachi on August 30, 2026, reflecting the primary driver of current market-implied odds favoring 31°C. Persistent westerly winds, elevated humidity near 65–75 percent, and the absence of active monsoon low-pressure systems—linked to El Niño suppression of Arabian Sea moisture—have maintained stable late-summer temperatures without significant diurnal swings or convective cooling. Historical August averages near 30°C and recent observations showing no major deviations reinforce trader consensus around this narrow range. Updated model runs and Pakistan Meteorological Department briefings ahead of the date remain the key variables that could shift exact resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$224End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies converge on a daytime maximum of 30–32°C for Karachi on August 30, 2026, reflecting the primary driver of current market-implied odds favoring 31°C. Persistent westerly winds, elevated humidity near 65–75 percent, and the absence of active monsoon low-pressure systems—linked to El Niño suppression of Arabian Sea moisture—have maintained stable late-summer temperatures without significant diurnal swings or convective cooling. Historical August averages near 30°C and recent observations showing no major deviations reinforce trader consensus around this narrow range. Updated model runs and Pakistan Meteorological Department briefings ahead of the date remain the key variables that could shift exact resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$224End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies converge on a daytime maximum of 30–32°C for Karachi on August 30, 2026, reflecting the primary driver of current market-implied odds favoring 31°C. Persistent westerly winds, elevated humidity near 65–75 percent, and the absence of active monsoon low-pressure systems—linked to El Niño suppression of Arabian Sea moisture—have maintained stable late-summer temperatures without significant diurnal swings or convective cooling. Historical August averages near 30°C and recent observations showing no major deviations reinforce trader consensus around this narrow range. Updated model runs and Pakistan Meteorological Department briefings ahead of the date remain the key variables that could shift exact resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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