Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model runs showing daytime maxima of 30–32°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds around 15–20 mph, position 31°C as the market favorite at 45.5% implied probability. These conditions align with Karachi’s late-August climatology of highs near 31°C, moderated by persistent humidity above 60% and limited monsoon influence this weekend. Trader consensus reflects the tight clustering of official guidance around this range, with 32°C at 27.5% capturing any modest upward bias from afternoon heating, while lower probabilities for 30°C or 33°C account for typical forecast uncertainty and potential cloud cover variations. No major shifts in steering patterns or sea-breeze strength have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 29?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 29?
31°C 46%
32°C 28%
30°C 15%
33°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
15%
31°C
46%
32°C
28%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 46%
32°C 28%
30°C 15%
33°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
26°C or below
$266 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
6%
30°C
$350 Vol.
15%
31°C
$296 Vol.
46%
32°C
$8 Vol.
28%
33°C
$0 Vol.
6%
34°C
$0 Vol.
3%
35°C
$61 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$268 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model runs showing daytime maxima of 30–32°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds around 15–20 mph, position 31°C as the market favorite at 45.5% implied probability. These conditions align with Karachi’s late-August climatology of highs near 31°C, moderated by persistent humidity above 60% and limited monsoon influence this weekend. Trader consensus reflects the tight clustering of official guidance around this range, with 32°C at 27.5% capturing any modest upward bias from afternoon heating, while lower probabilities for 30°C or 33°C account for typical forecast uncertainty and potential cloud cover variations. No major shifts in steering patterns or sea-breeze strength have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,316End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model runs showing daytime maxima of 30–32°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds around 15–20 mph, position 31°C as the market favorite at 45.5% implied probability. These conditions align with Karachi’s late-August climatology of highs near 31°C, moderated by persistent humidity above 60% and limited monsoon influence this weekend. Trader consensus reflects the tight clustering of official guidance around this range, with 32°C at 27.5% capturing any modest upward bias from afternoon heating, while lower probabilities for 30°C or 33°C account for typical forecast uncertainty and potential cloud cover variations. No major shifts in steering patterns or sea-breeze strength have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,316End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model runs showing daytime maxima of 30–32°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds around 15–20 mph, position 31°C as the market favorite at 45.5% implied probability. These conditions align with Karachi’s late-August climatology of highs near 31°C, moderated by persistent humidity above 60% and limited monsoon influence this weekend. Trader consensus reflects the tight clustering of official guidance around this range, with 32°C at 27.5% capturing any modest upward bias from afternoon heating, while lower probabilities for 30°C or 33°C account for typical forecast uncertainty and potential cloud cover variations. No major shifts in steering patterns or sea-breeze strength have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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