Persistent monsoon-influenced humidity and moderate westerly winds are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Karachi, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily minimum near 27°C or potentially higher. Official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, project lows around 26–27°C on August 29 amid mostly cloudy skies, high dew points near 24°C, and sustained 15–20 mph winds that mix warmer air downward and suppress temperature drops. Recent observations through late August show similar minima of 26–28°C with minimal precipitation, aligning with climatological norms for the period but leaving room for slight upward revisions if cloud cover thickens further or winds strengthen. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric conditions against typical urban heat retention when assessing the narrow spread between the top outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on August 29?
31°C or higher 93%
22°C 49%
30°C 49%
23°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
49%
23°C
48%
24°C
48%
25°C
21%
26°C
27%
27°C
40%
28°C
27%
29°C
48%
30°C
49%
31°C or higher
93%
31°C or higher 93%
22°C 49%
30°C 49%
23°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
22°C
$5 Vol.
49%
23°C
$5 Vol.
48%
24°C
$5 Vol.
48%
25°C
$364 Vol.
21%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$105 Vol.
40%
28°C
$0 Vol.
27%
29°C
$5 Vol.
48%
30°C
$5 Vol.
49%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon-influenced humidity and moderate westerly winds are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Karachi, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily minimum near 27°C or potentially higher. Official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, project lows around 26–27°C on August 29 amid mostly cloudy skies, high dew points near 24°C, and sustained 15–20 mph winds that mix warmer air downward and suppress temperature drops. Recent observations through late August show similar minima of 26–28°C with minimal precipitation, aligning with climatological norms for the period but leaving room for slight upward revisions if cloud cover thickens further or winds strengthen. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric conditions against typical urban heat retention when assessing the narrow spread between the top outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$505End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon-influenced humidity and moderate westerly winds are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Karachi, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily minimum near 27°C or potentially higher. Official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, project lows around 26–27°C on August 29 amid mostly cloudy skies, high dew points near 24°C, and sustained 15–20 mph winds that mix warmer air downward and suppress temperature drops. Recent observations through late August show similar minima of 26–28°C with minimal precipitation, aligning with climatological norms for the period but leaving room for slight upward revisions if cloud cover thickens further or winds strengthen. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric conditions against typical urban heat retention when assessing the narrow spread between the top outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$505End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon-influenced humidity and moderate westerly winds are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Karachi, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily minimum near 27°C or potentially higher. Official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, project lows around 26–27°C on August 29 amid mostly cloudy skies, high dew points near 24°C, and sustained 15–20 mph winds that mix warmer air downward and suppress temperature drops. Recent observations through late August show similar minima of 26–28°C with minimal precipitation, aligning with climatological norms for the period but leaving room for slight upward revisions if cloud cover thickens further or winds strengthen. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric conditions against typical urban heat retention when assessing the narrow spread between the top outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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