Recent forecasts for Wuhan show an approaching weather system tied to typhoon peripheral flow driving scattered to moderate rain and cloud cover on August 30, moderating the recent heat wave that produced highs near 36–38 °C. Official guidance and numerical models converge on daytime maxima of 31–34 °C, with northerly winds, higher humidity, and reduced insolation limiting peak temperatures while localized thunderstorm timing introduces uncertainty in the exact hourly maximum. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 32–33 °C because ensemble spreads reflect variability in rainfall onset and intensity, with lower probabilities assigned to 35 °C or above given the expected stabilization and to sub-31 °C outcomes absent stronger cooling than currently modeled. Traders weigh these atmospheric dynamics against historical late-August baselines for the Yangtze valley when assessing resolution risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 30?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 30?
33°C 31%
32°C 26%
34°C 15%
35°C or higher 13.6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
11%
32°C
26%
33°C
31%
34°C
15%
35°C or higher
14%
33°C 31%
32°C 26%
34°C 15%
35°C or higher 13.6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
25°C or below
$40 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$40 Vol.
1%
27°C
$40 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
6%
31°C
$2 Vol.
11%
32°C
$0 Vol.
26%
33°C
$43 Vol.
31%
34°C
$212 Vol.
15%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan show an approaching weather system tied to typhoon peripheral flow driving scattered to moderate rain and cloud cover on August 30, moderating the recent heat wave that produced highs near 36–38 °C. Official guidance and numerical models converge on daytime maxima of 31–34 °C, with northerly winds, higher humidity, and reduced insolation limiting peak temperatures while localized thunderstorm timing introduces uncertainty in the exact hourly maximum. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 32–33 °C because ensemble spreads reflect variability in rainfall onset and intensity, with lower probabilities assigned to 35 °C or above given the expected stabilization and to sub-31 °C outcomes absent stronger cooling than currently modeled. Traders weigh these atmospheric dynamics against historical late-August baselines for the Yangtze valley when assessing resolution risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$376End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan show an approaching weather system tied to typhoon peripheral flow driving scattered to moderate rain and cloud cover on August 30, moderating the recent heat wave that produced highs near 36–38 °C. Official guidance and numerical models converge on daytime maxima of 31–34 °C, with northerly winds, higher humidity, and reduced insolation limiting peak temperatures while localized thunderstorm timing introduces uncertainty in the exact hourly maximum. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 32–33 °C because ensemble spreads reflect variability in rainfall onset and intensity, with lower probabilities assigned to 35 °C or above given the expected stabilization and to sub-31 °C outcomes absent stronger cooling than currently modeled. Traders weigh these atmospheric dynamics against historical late-August baselines for the Yangtze valley when assessing resolution risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$376End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wuhan show an approaching weather system tied to typhoon peripheral flow driving scattered to moderate rain and cloud cover on August 30, moderating the recent heat wave that produced highs near 36–38 °C. Official guidance and numerical models converge on daytime maxima of 31–34 °C, with northerly winds, higher humidity, and reduced insolation limiting peak temperatures while localized thunderstorm timing introduces uncertainty in the exact hourly maximum. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 32–33 °C because ensemble spreads reflect variability in rainfall onset and intensity, with lower probabilities assigned to 35 °C or above given the expected stabilization and to sub-31 °C outcomes absent stronger cooling than currently modeled. Traders weigh these atmospheric dynamics against historical late-August baselines for the Yangtze valley when assessing resolution risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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