Recent forecasts for Wuhan on August 30 show a daytime high near 32–34 °C and an overnight low most likely between 25–27 °C under cloudy skies, scattered to moderate rain, and northerly winds of 3–5 Beaufort driven by a typhoon’s peripheral trough. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared with clearer nights, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping sharply while still allowing modest cooling once precipitation ends. Ensemble guidance diverges on the exact timing and intensity of the rain band and on how much boundary-layer mixing will occur, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27 °C, 26 °C, and 25 °C. A stronger or more prolonged rain event could push the low into the low- to mid-20s, whereas quicker clearing would favor values near 27 °C. Updated model runs and official Wuhan Meteorological Observatory guidance expected later on the 29th will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 30?
22°C or below 89%
29°C 49%
26°C 46%
27°C 45%
22°C or below
89%
23°C
30%
24°C
41%
25°C
44%
26°C
46%
27°C
45%
28°C
2%
29°C
49%
30°C
8%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
4%
22°C or below 89%
29°C 49%
26°C 46%
27°C 45%
22°C or below
89%
23°C
30%
24°C
41%
25°C
44%
26°C
46%
27°C
45%
28°C
2%
29°C
49%
30°C
8%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wuhan on August 30 show a daytime high near 32–34 °C and an overnight low most likely between 25–27 °C under cloudy skies, scattered to moderate rain, and northerly winds of 3–5 Beaufort driven by a typhoon’s peripheral trough. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared with clearer nights, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping sharply while still allowing modest cooling once precipitation ends. Ensemble guidance diverges on the exact timing and intensity of the rain band and on how much boundary-layer mixing will occur, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27 °C, 26 °C, and 25 °C. A stronger or more prolonged rain event could push the low into the low- to mid-20s, whereas quicker clearing would favor values near 27 °C. Updated model runs and official Wuhan Meteorological Observatory guidance expected later on the 29th will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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