**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 28, 2026, call for sunny, hot conditions with a high near 99–100°F, aligning closely with the market’s top two bins (98–99°F at 51.5% and 100–101°F at 31.5%).** Light east to southeast winds of 5–10 mph and minimal cloud cover are expected to support efficient daytime heating under high pressure, while dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s produce heat indices near 106–109°F. A broader late-August Southern Plains heat wave has kept daily highs in the upper 90s to low 100s, but model consensus shows modest moderation on the 28th relative to the peak days earlier in the week. Historical climatology places the Aug 28 average high at 94.6°F, so current guidance remains well above normal yet below record territory (107°F). With resolution based on the official Dallas-Fort Worth observation and no significant forecast shifts anticipated overnight, trader positioning clusters tightly around the 98–101°F range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 28?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 28?
98-99°F 52%
100-101°F 32%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
52%
100-101°F
32%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
3%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 52%
100-101°F 32%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
91°F or below
$118 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$309 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$296 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$493 Vol.
9%
98-99°F
$621 Vol.
52%
100-101°F
$303 Vol.
32%
102-103°F
$124 Vol.
7%
104-105°F
$38 Vol.
3%
106-107°F
$50 Vol.
3%
108-109°F
$213 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$230 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 28, 2026, call for sunny, hot conditions with a high near 99–100°F, aligning closely with the market’s top two bins (98–99°F at 51.5% and 100–101°F at 31.5%).** Light east to southeast winds of 5–10 mph and minimal cloud cover are expected to support efficient daytime heating under high pressure, while dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s produce heat indices near 106–109°F.
A broader late-August Southern Plains heat wave has kept daily highs in the upper 90s to low 100s, but model consensus shows modest moderation on the 28th relative to the peak days earlier in the week. Historical climatology places the Aug 28 average high at 94.6°F, so current guidance remains well above normal yet below record territory (107°F). With resolution based on the official Dallas-Fort Worth observation and no significant forecast shifts anticipated overnight, trader positioning clusters tightly around the 98–101°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,796End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 28, 2026, call for sunny, hot conditions with a high near 99–100°F, aligning closely with the market’s top two bins (98–99°F at 51.5% and 100–101°F at 31.5%).** Light east to southeast winds of 5–10 mph and minimal cloud cover are expected to support efficient daytime heating under high pressure, while dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s produce heat indices near 106–109°F.
A broader late-August Southern Plains heat wave has kept daily highs in the upper 90s to low 100s, but model consensus shows modest moderation on the 28th relative to the peak days earlier in the week. Historical climatology places the Aug 28 average high at 94.6°F, so current guidance remains well above normal yet below record territory (107°F). With resolution based on the official Dallas-Fort Worth observation and no significant forecast shifts anticipated overnight, trader positioning clusters tightly around the 98–101°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,796End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 28, 2026, call for sunny, hot conditions with a high near 99–100°F, aligning closely with the market’s top two bins (98–99°F at 51.5% and 100–101°F at 31.5%).** Light east to southeast winds of 5–10 mph and minimal cloud cover are expected to support efficient daytime heating under high pressure, while dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s produce heat indices near 106–109°F. A broader late-August Southern Plains heat wave has kept daily highs in the upper 90s to low 100s, but model consensus shows modest moderation on the 28th relative to the peak days earlier in the week. Historical climatology places the Aug 28 average high at 94.6°F, so current guidance remains well above normal yet below record territory (107°F). With resolution based on the official Dallas-Fort Worth observation and no significant forecast shifts anticipated overnight, trader positioning clusters tightly around the 98–101°F range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions