**Official forecasts from MetService and international models (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a maximum temperature of 14°C for Wellington on August 27, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with developing rain, strong northerly winds, and limited solar heating.** Afternoon observations and hourly data have hovered around 12–13°C, with no signs of exceeding this threshold as cloud cover and precipitation suppress warming. This aligns with typical late-winter (August) conditions in the region, where average highs are near 13–15°C and persistent marine influence plus frontal activity cap daytime peaks. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability reflects this tight alignment between models, real-time station data, and climatological norms, with only minimal probability assigned to 15°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clearing trend or model revision allowing stronger insolation, though current guidance shows low likelihood before the day ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
14°C 98.5%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
8°C or below <1%
$99,692 Vol.
$99,692 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
99%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 98.5%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
8°C or below <1%
$99,692 Vol.
$99,692 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
8°C or below
$1,294 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$244 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$568 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,907 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$22,688 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$21,970 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$21,120 Vol.
99%
15°C
$21,678 Vol.
1%
16°C
$6,305 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,524 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$393 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from MetService and international models (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a maximum temperature of 14°C for Wellington on August 27, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with developing rain, strong northerly winds, and limited solar heating.** Afternoon observations and hourly data have hovered around 12–13°C, with no signs of exceeding this threshold as cloud cover and precipitation suppress warming. This aligns with typical late-winter (August) conditions in the region, where average highs are near 13–15°C and persistent marine influence plus frontal activity cap daytime peaks. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability reflects this tight alignment between models, real-time station data, and climatological norms, with only minimal probability assigned to 15°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clearing trend or model revision allowing stronger insolation, though current guidance shows low likelihood before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$99,692End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from MetService and international models (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a maximum temperature of 14°C for Wellington on August 27, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with developing rain, strong northerly winds, and limited solar heating.** Afternoon observations and hourly data have hovered around 12–13°C, with no signs of exceeding this threshold as cloud cover and precipitation suppress warming. This aligns with typical late-winter (August) conditions in the region, where average highs are near 13–15°C and persistent marine influence plus frontal activity cap daytime peaks. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability reflects this tight alignment between models, real-time station data, and climatological norms, with only minimal probability assigned to 15°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clearing trend or model revision allowing stronger insolation, though current guidance shows low likelihood before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$99,692End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from MetService and international models (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a maximum temperature of 14°C for Wellington on August 27, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with developing rain, strong northerly winds, and limited solar heating.** Afternoon observations and hourly data have hovered around 12–13°C, with no signs of exceeding this threshold as cloud cover and precipitation suppress warming. This aligns with typical late-winter (August) conditions in the region, where average highs are near 13–15°C and persistent marine influence plus frontal activity cap daytime peaks. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability reflects this tight alignment between models, real-time station data, and climatological norms, with only minimal probability assigned to 15°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clearing trend or model revision allowing stronger insolation, though current guidance shows low likelihood before the day ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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