Recent forecasts from models and agencies including the Met Office and local observations indicate a mild overnight period for Wellington on August 27, with minimum temperatures likely ranging 10–12°C amid overcast skies, light winds shifting southerly, and patchy rain reducing radiative cooling. These conditions favor the tightly bunched market leaders near 8–11°C, as cloud cover and moisture limit sharp drops below seasonal norms while preventing significant warming. Historical August lows average near 6–8°C, but the current stable pattern and lack of cold-air advection keep probabilities for extremes low, with traders weighing model consensus on exact overnight minima ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
15°C or higher 57%
8°C 36%
10°C 32%
11°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
5°C or below
1%
6°C
12%
7°C
25%
8°C
36%
9°C
26%
10°C
32%
11°C
30%
12°C
5%
13°C
8%
14°C
10%
15°C or higher
57%
15°C or higher 57%
8°C 36%
10°C 32%
11°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
5°C or below
$157 Vol.
1%
6°C
$15 Vol.
12%
7°C
$0 Vol.
25%
8°C
$0 Vol.
36%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
32%
11°C
$0 Vol.
30%
12°C
$13 Vol.
5%
13°C
$18 Vol.
8%
14°C
$29 Vol.
10%
15°C or higher
$27 Vol.
57%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies including the Met Office and local observations indicate a mild overnight period for Wellington on August 27, with minimum temperatures likely ranging 10–12°C amid overcast skies, light winds shifting southerly, and patchy rain reducing radiative cooling. These conditions favor the tightly bunched market leaders near 8–11°C, as cloud cover and moisture limit sharp drops below seasonal norms while preventing significant warming. Historical August lows average near 6–8°C, but the current stable pattern and lack of cold-air advection keep probabilities for extremes low, with traders weighing model consensus on exact overnight minima ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$257End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies including the Met Office and local observations indicate a mild overnight period for Wellington on August 27, with minimum temperatures likely ranging 10–12°C amid overcast skies, light winds shifting southerly, and patchy rain reducing radiative cooling. These conditions favor the tightly bunched market leaders near 8–11°C, as cloud cover and moisture limit sharp drops below seasonal norms while preventing significant warming. Historical August lows average near 6–8°C, but the current stable pattern and lack of cold-air advection keep probabilities for extremes low, with traders weighing model consensus on exact overnight minima ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$257End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and agencies including the Met Office and local observations indicate a mild overnight period for Wellington on August 27, with minimum temperatures likely ranging 10–12°C amid overcast skies, light winds shifting southerly, and patchy rain reducing radiative cooling. These conditions favor the tightly bunched market leaders near 8–11°C, as cloud cover and moisture limit sharp drops below seasonal norms while preventing significant warming. Historical August lows average near 6–8°C, but the current stable pattern and lack of cold-air advection keep probabilities for extremes low, with traders weighing model consensus on exact overnight minima ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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