Official National Weather Service forecasts position the highest temperature in Houston on August 25 near 98°F under mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds, following a 100°F reading the prior day amid an ongoing heat advisory. Persistent high pressure and typical late-summer southerly flow have sustained upper-90s to low-100s readings recently, with minimal precipitation chances limiting cooling. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping 98-99°F and adjacent bins as the dominant market-implied outcomes while lower or extreme values remain low-probability given current steering patterns and lack of incoming fronts or tropical influences. Updated NWS guidance through midweek will provide the next key data point for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 25?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 25?
98-99°F 50%
96-97°F 41%
100-101°F 9%
94-95°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
41%
98-99°F
50%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 50%
96-97°F 41%
100-101°F 9%
94-95°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
89°F or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$10 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$10 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$12 Vol.
4%
96-97°F
$72 Vol.
41%
98-99°F
$305 Vol.
50%
100-101°F
$45 Vol.
9%
102-103°F
$56 Vol.
3%
104-105°F
$10 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$102 Vol.
1%
108°F or higher
$100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts position the highest temperature in Houston on August 25 near 98°F under mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds, following a 100°F reading the prior day amid an ongoing heat advisory. Persistent high pressure and typical late-summer southerly flow have sustained upper-90s to low-100s readings recently, with minimal precipitation chances limiting cooling. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping 98-99°F and adjacent bins as the dominant market-implied outcomes while lower or extreme values remain low-probability given current steering patterns and lack of incoming fronts or tropical influences. Updated NWS guidance through midweek will provide the next key data point for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$728End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts position the highest temperature in Houston on August 25 near 98°F under mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds, following a 100°F reading the prior day amid an ongoing heat advisory. Persistent high pressure and typical late-summer southerly flow have sustained upper-90s to low-100s readings recently, with minimal precipitation chances limiting cooling. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping 98-99°F and adjacent bins as the dominant market-implied outcomes while lower or extreme values remain low-probability given current steering patterns and lack of incoming fronts or tropical influences. Updated NWS guidance through midweek will provide the next key data point for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$728End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts position the highest temperature in Houston on August 25 near 98°F under mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds, following a 100°F reading the prior day amid an ongoing heat advisory. Persistent high pressure and typical late-summer southerly flow have sustained upper-90s to low-100s readings recently, with minimal precipitation chances limiting cooling. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping 98-99°F and adjacent bins as the dominant market-implied outcomes while lower or extreme values remain low-probability given current steering patterns and lack of incoming fronts or tropical influences. Updated NWS guidance through midweek will provide the next key data point for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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