Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing will clear after Friday's rain and cooler conditions, with mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds on August 29 supporting afternoon highs in the 30–32°C range. This pattern aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where post-frontal subsidence often produces rapid warming under clear skies. The closely matched market probabilities around 30–32°C reflect genuine uncertainty in peak timing and any residual cloud cover or wind shifts that could trim or boost the maximum by 1°C. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 29?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 29?
31°C 30%
32°C 24%
30°C 23%
33°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
9%
30°C
23%
31°C
30%
32°C
24%
33°C
14%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
3%
31°C 30%
32°C 24%
30°C 23%
33°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
$115 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
3%
27°C
$55 Vol.
2%
28°C
$16 Vol.
5%
29°C
$5 Vol.
9%
30°C
$0 Vol.
23%
31°C
$58 Vol.
30%
32°C
$35 Vol.
24%
33°C
$11 Vol.
14%
34°C
$0 Vol.
4%
35°C or higher
$65 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing will clear after Friday's rain and cooler conditions, with mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds on August 29 supporting afternoon highs in the 30–32°C range. This pattern aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where post-frontal subsidence often produces rapid warming under clear skies. The closely matched market probabilities around 30–32°C reflect genuine uncertainty in peak timing and any residual cloud cover or wind shifts that could trim or boost the maximum by 1°C. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$364End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing will clear after Friday's rain and cooler conditions, with mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds on August 29 supporting afternoon highs in the 30–32°C range. This pattern aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where post-frontal subsidence often produces rapid warming under clear skies. The closely matched market probabilities around 30–32°C reflect genuine uncertainty in peak timing and any residual cloud cover or wind shifts that could trim or boost the maximum by 1°C. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$364End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing will clear after Friday's rain and cooler conditions, with mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds on August 29 supporting afternoon highs in the 30–32°C range. This pattern aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where post-frontal subsidence often produces rapid warming under clear skies. The closely matched market probabilities around 30–32°C reflect genuine uncertainty in peak timing and any residual cloud cover or wind shifts that could trim or boost the maximum by 1°C. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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