Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to a highest temperature of 29–31°C in Qingdao on August 29 under mostly cloudy skies with 30–50% rain chances and northerly winds of 3–4 m/s. These conditions, following a stable late-August pattern with daytime highs near the 29°C climatological average, limit strong solar heating while marine influence from the Yellow Sea caps peaks. Trader sentiment clusters on 28–30°C because near-term model runs show minor disagreements on cloud thickness and timing of any showers, which could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C before official observations resolve the market. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 29?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 29?
28°C 28%
29°C 28%
30°C 21%
27°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
13%
28°C
28%
29°C
28%
30°C
21%
31°C
12%
32°C
9%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
28°C 28%
29°C 28%
30°C 21%
27°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$97 Vol.
13%
28°C
$110 Vol.
28%
29°C
$72 Vol.
28%
30°C
$76 Vol.
21%
31°C
$81 Vol.
12%
32°C
$7 Vol.
9%
33°C
$111 Vol.
1%
34°C
$193 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$226 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to a highest temperature of 29–31°C in Qingdao on August 29 under mostly cloudy skies with 30–50% rain chances and northerly winds of 3–4 m/s. These conditions, following a stable late-August pattern with daytime highs near the 29°C climatological average, limit strong solar heating while marine influence from the Yellow Sea caps peaks. Trader sentiment clusters on 28–30°C because near-term model runs show minor disagreements on cloud thickness and timing of any showers, which could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C before official observations resolve the market. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$978End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to a highest temperature of 29–31°C in Qingdao on August 29 under mostly cloudy skies with 30–50% rain chances and northerly winds of 3–4 m/s. These conditions, following a stable late-August pattern with daytime highs near the 29°C climatological average, limit strong solar heating while marine influence from the Yellow Sea caps peaks. Trader sentiment clusters on 28–30°C because near-term model runs show minor disagreements on cloud thickness and timing of any showers, which could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C before official observations resolve the market. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$978End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to a highest temperature of 29–31°C in Qingdao on August 29 under mostly cloudy skies with 30–50% rain chances and northerly winds of 3–4 m/s. These conditions, following a stable late-August pattern with daytime highs near the 29°C climatological average, limit strong solar heating while marine influence from the Yellow Sea caps peaks. Trader sentiment clusters on 28–30°C because near-term model runs show minor disagreements on cloud thickness and timing of any showers, which could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C before official observations resolve the market. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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