Current forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a moderating influence from northerly winds on August 29, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures near the seasonal August average of 22–24°C in coastal Qingdao. Marine air advection and 30–50% chance of showers or thunderstorms further stabilize the boundary layer, reducing the likelihood of sharp drops below 21°C while capping upside potential above 26°C. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on wind speed and cloud cover timing, sustaining market-implied odds around 46.5% for 20°C or below as traders weigh historical variability against the latest guidance ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 29?
30°C or higher 85%
26°C 49%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
20°C or below
44%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
2%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C or higher
85%
30°C or higher 85%
26°C 49%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
20°C or below
$16 Vol.
44%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$10 Vol.
49%
27°C
$5 Vol.
49%
28°C
$5 Vol.
49%
29°C
$5 Vol.
49%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a moderating influence from northerly winds on August 29, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures near the seasonal August average of 22–24°C in coastal Qingdao. Marine air advection and 30–50% chance of showers or thunderstorms further stabilize the boundary layer, reducing the likelihood of sharp drops below 21°C while capping upside potential above 26°C. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on wind speed and cloud cover timing, sustaining market-implied odds around 46.5% for 20°C or below as traders weigh historical variability against the latest guidance ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$46End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a moderating influence from northerly winds on August 29, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures near the seasonal August average of 22–24°C in coastal Qingdao. Marine air advection and 30–50% chance of showers or thunderstorms further stabilize the boundary layer, reducing the likelihood of sharp drops below 21°C while capping upside potential above 26°C. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on wind speed and cloud cover timing, sustaining market-implied odds around 46.5% for 20°C or below as traders weigh historical variability against the latest guidance ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a moderating influence from northerly winds on August 29, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures near the seasonal August average of 22–24°C in coastal Qingdao. Marine air advection and 30–50% chance of showers or thunderstorms further stabilize the boundary layer, reducing the likelihood of sharp drops below 21°C while capping upside potential above 26°C. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on wind speed and cloud cover timing, sustaining market-implied odds around 46.5% for 20°C or below as traders weigh historical variability against the latest guidance ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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