Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms over Chengdu on August 29, limiting daytime solar heating and capping the daily maximum near 28–30 °C. This cooling follows several days of heavy rain that lowered surface temperatures and increased humidity, keeping the highest readings below the clearer-sky peaks seen earlier in the month. With leading market probabilities clustered tightly around 28–30 °C, traders appear to weigh the balance between lingering moisture that favors the lower end and any brief afternoon clearing that could push readings toward 31 °C, consistent with typical late-August variability under monsoonal influence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 29?
29°C 22%
28°C 21%
30°C 19%
27°C 11%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
11%
28°C
21%
29°C
22%
30°C
19%
31°C
10%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 22%
28°C 21%
30°C 19%
27°C 11%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
11%
28°C
21%
29°C
22%
30°C
19%
31°C
10%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms over Chengdu on August 29, limiting daytime solar heating and capping the daily maximum near 28–30 °C. This cooling follows several days of heavy rain that lowered surface temperatures and increased humidity, keeping the highest readings below the clearer-sky peaks seen earlier in the month. With leading market probabilities clustered tightly around 28–30 °C, traders appear to weigh the balance between lingering moisture that favors the lower end and any brief afternoon clearing that could push readings toward 31 °C, consistent with typical late-August variability under monsoonal influence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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