Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local outlets project a Saturday high near 95°F in Denver under partly sunny skies with southwest flow and only a 20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, supporting the market's concentration on 92-95°F outcomes. Model consensus and recent climatological patterns favor daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 90s amid limited moisture and modest cloud cover that could slightly moderate peaks, while the low probability of stronger convection or widespread cloudiness keeps higher bins (96°F+) at minimal implied odds. Updated model runs show little day-to-day shift, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 29?
92-93°F 46%
94-95°F 23%
90-91°F 19%
86-87°F 14%
83°F or below
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
19%
92-93°F
46%
94-95°F
23%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
4%
102°F or higher
4%
92-93°F 46%
94-95°F 23%
90-91°F 19%
86-87°F 14%
83°F or below
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
19%
92-93°F
46%
94-95°F
23%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
4%
102°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local outlets project a Saturday high near 95°F in Denver under partly sunny skies with southwest flow and only a 20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, supporting the market's concentration on 92-95°F outcomes. Model consensus and recent climatological patterns favor daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 90s amid limited moisture and modest cloud cover that could slightly moderate peaks, while the low probability of stronger convection or widespread cloudiness keeps higher bins (96°F+) at minimal implied odds. Updated model runs show little day-to-day shift, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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