**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a high near 100–101°F for Dallas on August 27, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds and heat indices up to 109°F.** This follows an intense late-August heat dome that produced multiple 105–109°F days earlier in the week, pushing DFW toward one of its hottest Augusts on record. A weak frontal passage is introducing slightly cooler northerly flow, moderating the peak compared with the 102–104°F readings on August 26. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the 99–101°F range, with only modest chances of afternoon convection that would cap temperatures if realized. Historical climatology places the late-August average high near 95°F, underscoring the ongoing positive anomaly even as the extreme heat eases modestly. Trader consensus, reflected in the 45% implied probability for 98–99°F and 23.5% for 96–97°F, aligns with this expected slight cooldown while assigning lower weight to the upper 100–101°F or 102°F+ outcomes. The market is pricing in the most likely resolution near the lower end of the official forecast envelope, with resolution hinging on the exact maximum observed at official Dallas stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 27?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 27?
98-99°F 45%
96-97°F 23%
100-101°F 21%
94-95°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
93°F or below
1%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
23%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
21%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
2%
110-111°F
2%
112°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 45%
96-97°F 23%
100-101°F 21%
94-95°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
93°F or below
$22 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$71 Vol.
9%
96-97°F
$281 Vol.
23%
98-99°F
$209 Vol.
45%
100-101°F
$79 Vol.
21%
102-103°F
$36 Vol.
7%
104-105°F
$50 Vol.
3%
106-107°F
$50 Vol.
2%
108-109°F
$75 Vol.
2%
110-111°F
$82 Vol.
2%
112°F or higher
$311 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a high near 100–101°F for Dallas on August 27, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds and heat indices up to 109°F.** This follows an intense late-August heat dome that produced multiple 105–109°F days earlier in the week, pushing DFW toward one of its hottest Augusts on record.
A weak frontal passage is introducing slightly cooler northerly flow, moderating the peak compared with the 102–104°F readings on August 26. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the 99–101°F range, with only modest chances of afternoon convection that would cap temperatures if realized. Historical climatology places the late-August average high near 95°F, underscoring the ongoing positive anomaly even as the extreme heat eases modestly.
Trader consensus, reflected in the 45% implied probability for 98–99°F and 23.5% for 96–97°F, aligns with this expected slight cooldown while assigning lower weight to the upper 100–101°F or 102°F+ outcomes. The market is pricing in the most likely resolution near the lower end of the official forecast envelope, with resolution hinging on the exact maximum observed at official Dallas stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,237End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a high near 100–101°F for Dallas on August 27, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds and heat indices up to 109°F.** This follows an intense late-August heat dome that produced multiple 105–109°F days earlier in the week, pushing DFW toward one of its hottest Augusts on record.
A weak frontal passage is introducing slightly cooler northerly flow, moderating the peak compared with the 102–104°F readings on August 26. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the 99–101°F range, with only modest chances of afternoon convection that would cap temperatures if realized. Historical climatology places the late-August average high near 95°F, underscoring the ongoing positive anomaly even as the extreme heat eases modestly.
Trader consensus, reflected in the 45% implied probability for 98–99°F and 23.5% for 96–97°F, aligns with this expected slight cooldown while assigning lower weight to the upper 100–101°F or 102°F+ outcomes. The market is pricing in the most likely resolution near the lower end of the official forecast envelope, with resolution hinging on the exact maximum observed at official Dallas stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,237End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a high near 100–101°F for Dallas on August 27, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds and heat indices up to 109°F.** This follows an intense late-August heat dome that produced multiple 105–109°F days earlier in the week, pushing DFW toward one of its hottest Augusts on record. A weak frontal passage is introducing slightly cooler northerly flow, moderating the peak compared with the 102–104°F readings on August 26. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the 99–101°F range, with only modest chances of afternoon convection that would cap temperatures if realized. Historical climatology places the late-August average high near 95°F, underscoring the ongoing positive anomaly even as the extreme heat eases modestly. Trader consensus, reflected in the 45% implied probability for 98–99°F and 23.5% for 96–97°F, aligns with this expected slight cooldown while assigning lower weight to the upper 100–101°F or 102°F+ outcomes. The market is pricing in the most likely resolution near the lower end of the official forecast envelope, with resolution hinging on the exact maximum observed at official Dallas stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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