**Forecast models for Houston on August 27, 2026, show a high-temperature range centered on the mid- to upper 90s, with official guidance from the National Weather Service placing the expected maximum near 98–100°F under mostly sunny conditions and a 20–30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms.** This distribution drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 94–97°F, as traders weigh the balance between strong daytime solar heating in the subtropical Gulf Coast environment and modest cooling influences from increased boundary-layer moisture, light southwesterly winds, and potential convective cloud cover. Ongoing late-August heat (following several days of 99–101°F readings) supports the upper end of the favored bins, while slight model disagreement on the timing and coverage of any showers or thin cloud decks introduces downside risk toward 92–95°F. Historical climatology for late August shows typical highs near 93–95°F, but the current anomalous warmth and high dew points (mid-70s) keep the distribution skewed slightly above average. Upcoming afternoon forecast updates and real-time observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 27?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 27?
94-95°F 36%
96-97°F 30%
92-93°F 20%
98-99°F 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
36%
96-97°F
30%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
2%
108°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 36%
96-97°F 30%
92-93°F 20%
98-99°F 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
89°F or below
$13 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$10 Vol.
7%
92-93°F
$46 Vol.
20%
94-95°F
$87 Vol.
36%
96-97°F
$56 Vol.
30%
98-99°F
$2 Vol.
15%
100-101°F
$96 Vol.
3%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
2%
104-105°F
$10 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$0 Vol.
2%
108°F or higher
$239 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Houston on August 27, 2026, show a high-temperature range centered on the mid- to upper 90s, with official guidance from the National Weather Service placing the expected maximum near 98–100°F under mostly sunny conditions and a 20–30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms.**
This distribution drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 94–97°F, as traders weigh the balance between strong daytime solar heating in the subtropical Gulf Coast environment and modest cooling influences from increased boundary-layer moisture, light southwesterly winds, and potential convective cloud cover.
Ongoing late-August heat (following several days of 99–101°F readings) supports the upper end of the favored bins, while slight model disagreement on the timing and coverage of any showers or thin cloud decks introduces downside risk toward 92–95°F. Historical climatology for late August shows typical highs near 93–95°F, but the current anomalous warmth and high dew points (mid-70s) keep the distribution skewed slightly above average.
Upcoming afternoon forecast updates and real-time observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$558End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Houston on August 27, 2026, show a high-temperature range centered on the mid- to upper 90s, with official guidance from the National Weather Service placing the expected maximum near 98–100°F under mostly sunny conditions and a 20–30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms.**
This distribution drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 94–97°F, as traders weigh the balance between strong daytime solar heating in the subtropical Gulf Coast environment and modest cooling influences from increased boundary-layer moisture, light southwesterly winds, and potential convective cloud cover.
Ongoing late-August heat (following several days of 99–101°F readings) supports the upper end of the favored bins, while slight model disagreement on the timing and coverage of any showers or thin cloud decks introduces downside risk toward 92–95°F. Historical climatology for late August shows typical highs near 93–95°F, but the current anomalous warmth and high dew points (mid-70s) keep the distribution skewed slightly above average.
Upcoming afternoon forecast updates and real-time observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$558End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Houston on August 27, 2026, show a high-temperature range centered on the mid- to upper 90s, with official guidance from the National Weather Service placing the expected maximum near 98–100°F under mostly sunny conditions and a 20–30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms.** This distribution drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 94–97°F, as traders weigh the balance between strong daytime solar heating in the subtropical Gulf Coast environment and modest cooling influences from increased boundary-layer moisture, light southwesterly winds, and potential convective cloud cover. Ongoing late-August heat (following several days of 99–101°F readings) supports the upper end of the favored bins, while slight model disagreement on the timing and coverage of any showers or thin cloud decks introduces downside risk toward 92–95°F. Historical climatology for late August shows typical highs near 93–95°F, but the current anomalous warmth and high dew points (mid-70s) keep the distribution skewed slightly above average. Upcoming afternoon forecast updates and real-time observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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