Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a mostly sunny Thursday in Denver with a high near 90°F and only a 20% afternoon thunderstorm chance, anchoring trader consensus on the 90-91°F bin at 45% implied probability. Afternoon maximum temperatures hinge on solar insolation under limited cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any convective development that could reduce surface heating through shading or evaporative cooling. Lower dew points and light northeasterly winds favor efficient radiative warming, while slight model spread in storm timing or coverage creates the close 88-89°F (35.5%) contest. Updated forecast discussions and next model runs will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 27?
90-91°F 45%
88-89°F 37%
86-87°F 11%
92-93°F 11%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
37%
90-91°F
45%
92-93°F
11%
94-95°F
7%
96°F or higher
3%
90-91°F 45%
88-89°F 37%
86-87°F 11%
92-93°F 11%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
37%
90-91°F
45%
92-93°F
11%
94-95°F
7%
96°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a mostly sunny Thursday in Denver with a high near 90°F and only a 20% afternoon thunderstorm chance, anchoring trader consensus on the 90-91°F bin at 45% implied probability. Afternoon maximum temperatures hinge on solar insolation under limited cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any convective development that could reduce surface heating through shading or evaporative cooling. Lower dew points and light northeasterly winds favor efficient radiative warming, while slight model spread in storm timing or coverage creates the close 88-89°F (35.5%) contest. Updated forecast discussions and next model runs will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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