Forecast models from the National Weather Service and local outlets consistently project a high near 93–96°F for Denver on August 28 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and only a 10–20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. This range aligns with trader consensus on the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins, which together capture roughly 86% of market-implied probability. Dry downslope flow off the Rockies and minimal cloud cover are supporting strong daytime heating above the late-August climatological normal of ~85°F, while recent model runs show limited spread and no major revisions that would favor extremes below 90°F or above 97°F. Official observations and forecast updates through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 28?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 28?
92-93°F 49%
94-95°F 39%
96-97°F 9%
90-91°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
49%
94-95°F
39%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 49%
94-95°F 39%
96-97°F 9%
90-91°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
83°F or below
$238 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$415 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$412 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$358 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$234 Vol.
6%
92-93°F
$2,032 Vol.
49%
94-95°F
$1,088 Vol.
39%
96-97°F
$528 Vol.
9%
98-99°F
$447 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$60 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$297 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and local outlets consistently project a high near 93–96°F for Denver on August 28 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and only a 10–20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. This range aligns with trader consensus on the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins, which together capture roughly 86% of market-implied probability. Dry downslope flow off the Rockies and minimal cloud cover are supporting strong daytime heating above the late-August climatological normal of ~85°F, while recent model runs show limited spread and no major revisions that would favor extremes below 90°F or above 97°F. Official observations and forecast updates through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$6,108End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and local outlets consistently project a high near 93–96°F for Denver on August 28 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and only a 10–20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. This range aligns with trader consensus on the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins, which together capture roughly 86% of market-implied probability. Dry downslope flow off the Rockies and minimal cloud cover are supporting strong daytime heating above the late-August climatological normal of ~85°F, while recent model runs show limited spread and no major revisions that would favor extremes below 90°F or above 97°F. Official observations and forecast updates through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,108End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and local outlets consistently project a high near 93–96°F for Denver on August 28 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and only a 10–20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. This range aligns with trader consensus on the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins, which together capture roughly 86% of market-implied probability. Dry downslope flow off the Rockies and minimal cloud cover are supporting strong daytime heating above the late-August climatological normal of ~85°F, while recent model runs show limited spread and no major revisions that would favor extremes below 90°F or above 97°F. Official observations and forecast updates through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions