Current ensemble forecasts place Qingdao’s overnight low for August 28 near 25 °C, reflecting persistent cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limits radiative cooling. Model consensus from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global centers shows minima clustered between 24–26 °C, with 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing because small differences in cloud timing or wind speed can shift the recorded minimum. This exceeds typical late-August climatology of roughly 22 °C owing to the prevailing moist, stable pattern. Updated model runs and official station observations over the next 48 hours will determine the precise value used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 28?
27°C 84%
25°C 46%
24°C 45%
26°C 43%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
4%
21°C
24%
22°C
25%
23°C
25%
24°C
45%
25°C
46%
26°C
43%
27°C
84%
28°C
12%
29°C
41%
30°C or higher
43%
27°C 84%
25°C 46%
24°C 45%
26°C 43%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
$75 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
24%
22°C
$0 Vol.
25%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
45%
25°C
$0 Vol.
46%
26°C
$0 Vol.
43%
27°C
$15 Vol.
84%
28°C
$42 Vol.
12%
29°C
$15 Vol.
41%
30°C or higher
$15 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts place Qingdao’s overnight low for August 28 near 25 °C, reflecting persistent cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limits radiative cooling. Model consensus from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global centers shows minima clustered between 24–26 °C, with 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing because small differences in cloud timing or wind speed can shift the recorded minimum. This exceeds typical late-August climatology of roughly 22 °C owing to the prevailing moist, stable pattern. Updated model runs and official station observations over the next 48 hours will determine the precise value used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$163End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts place Qingdao’s overnight low for August 28 near 25 °C, reflecting persistent cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limits radiative cooling. Model consensus from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global centers shows minima clustered between 24–26 °C, with 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing because small differences in cloud timing or wind speed can shift the recorded minimum. This exceeds typical late-August climatology of roughly 22 °C owing to the prevailing moist, stable pattern. Updated model runs and official station observations over the next 48 hours will determine the precise value used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$163End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts place Qingdao’s overnight low for August 28 near 25 °C, reflecting persistent cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limits radiative cooling. Model consensus from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global centers shows minima clustered between 24–26 °C, with 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing because small differences in cloud timing or wind speed can shift the recorded minimum. This exceeds typical late-August climatology of roughly 22 °C owing to the prevailing moist, stable pattern. Updated model runs and official station observations over the next 48 hours will determine the precise value used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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