Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate a potential dip in overnight lows toward or below the 23–25°C climatological average for late August, driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected around August 27. Numerical weather models show modest cooling from a weak frontal passage and higher humidity, which limits radiative cooling but favors minima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius range. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 22°C or below at 42%, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical analogs where coastal Shandong sees brief cool spells amid otherwise stable summer warmth. Upcoming official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 27?
22°C or below 85%
23°C 46%
27°C 46%
28°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
85%
23°C
46%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
25%
27°C
46%
28°C
40%
29°C
14%
30°C
14%
31°C
14%
32°C or higher
12%
22°C or below 85%
23°C 46%
27°C 46%
28°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
85%
23°C
$0 Vol.
46%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
25%
27°C
$0 Vol.
46%
28°C
$0 Vol.
40%
29°C
$0 Vol.
14%
30°C
$0 Vol.
14%
31°C
$0 Vol.
14%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate a potential dip in overnight lows toward or below the 23–25°C climatological average for late August, driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected around August 27. Numerical weather models show modest cooling from a weak frontal passage and higher humidity, which limits radiative cooling but favors minima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius range. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 22°C or below at 42%, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical analogs where coastal Shandong sees brief cool spells amid otherwise stable summer warmth. Upcoming official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate a potential dip in overnight lows toward or below the 23–25°C climatological average for late August, driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected around August 27. Numerical weather models show modest cooling from a weak frontal passage and higher humidity, which limits radiative cooling but favors minima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius range. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 22°C or below at 42%, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical analogs where coastal Shandong sees brief cool spells amid otherwise stable summer warmth. Upcoming official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate a potential dip in overnight lows toward or below the 23–25°C climatological average for late August, driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected around August 27. Numerical weather models show modest cooling from a weak frontal passage and higher humidity, which limits radiative cooling but favors minima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius range. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 22°C or below at 42%, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical analogs where coastal Shandong sees brief cool spells amid otherwise stable summer warmth. Upcoming official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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