Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a modest cooldown from the late-August heat wave, with sunny skies and moderate southwest onshore flow supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s at coastal and airport sites while downtown and inland valleys reach the low 90s. This positions the 82–85 °F range as the consensus outcome, reflecting the typical marine-layer moderation and seasonal steering patterns that cap extreme heating on the 29th. Traders have priced lower probabilities for 86 °F+ readings given the recent trend toward slightly cooler guidance and the absence of strong offshore winds that could produce outlier warmth. Official verification will hinge on the maximum reported at the primary Los Angeles observation station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 29?
84-85°F 45%
82-83°F 29%
86-87°F 12%
80-81°F 5%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
45%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
1%
84-85°F 45%
82-83°F 29%
86-87°F 12%
80-81°F 5%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
45%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a modest cooldown from the late-August heat wave, with sunny skies and moderate southwest onshore flow supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s at coastal and airport sites while downtown and inland valleys reach the low 90s. This positions the 82–85 °F range as the consensus outcome, reflecting the typical marine-layer moderation and seasonal steering patterns that cap extreme heating on the 29th. Traders have priced lower probabilities for 86 °F+ readings given the recent trend toward slightly cooler guidance and the absence of strong offshore winds that could produce outlier warmth. Official verification will hinge on the maximum reported at the primary Los Angeles observation station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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