Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models indicate Los Angeles overnight lows on August 28 will likely settle in the lower to mid-70s amid persistent high pressure and a marine heat wave elevating near-shore Pacific sea surface temperatures. These conditions suppress typical radiative cooling and maintain elevated dew points near 70°F, limiting the potential for sub-70°F readings despite some model spread on marine layer strength and onshore flow. Trader consensus, with 67°F or below as the leading implied probability at 46.5%, appears to weigh historical late-August variability and possible localized cooling against the current above-average nighttime warmth, while bins clustered around 70–77°F capture the most probable range based on official guidance. A shift in steering patterns or stronger sea breeze could tighten the outcome further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 28?
78-79°F 49%
67°F or below 46%
86°F or higher 40%
72-73°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
67°F or below
46%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
12%
86°F or higher
40%
78-79°F 49%
67°F or below 46%
86°F or higher 40%
72-73°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
67°F or below
$0 Vol.
46%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
26%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
26%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
27%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
27%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
49%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$5 Vol.
21%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
12%
86°F or higher
$10 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models indicate Los Angeles overnight lows on August 28 will likely settle in the lower to mid-70s amid persistent high pressure and a marine heat wave elevating near-shore Pacific sea surface temperatures. These conditions suppress typical radiative cooling and maintain elevated dew points near 70°F, limiting the potential for sub-70°F readings despite some model spread on marine layer strength and onshore flow. Trader consensus, with 67°F or below as the leading implied probability at 46.5%, appears to weigh historical late-August variability and possible localized cooling against the current above-average nighttime warmth, while bins clustered around 70–77°F capture the most probable range based on official guidance. A shift in steering patterns or stronger sea breeze could tighten the outcome further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$30End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models indicate Los Angeles overnight lows on August 28 will likely settle in the lower to mid-70s amid persistent high pressure and a marine heat wave elevating near-shore Pacific sea surface temperatures. These conditions suppress typical radiative cooling and maintain elevated dew points near 70°F, limiting the potential for sub-70°F readings despite some model spread on marine layer strength and onshore flow. Trader consensus, with 67°F or below as the leading implied probability at 46.5%, appears to weigh historical late-August variability and possible localized cooling against the current above-average nighttime warmth, while bins clustered around 70–77°F capture the most probable range based on official guidance. A shift in steering patterns or stronger sea breeze could tighten the outcome further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models indicate Los Angeles overnight lows on August 28 will likely settle in the lower to mid-70s amid persistent high pressure and a marine heat wave elevating near-shore Pacific sea surface temperatures. These conditions suppress typical radiative cooling and maintain elevated dew points near 70°F, limiting the potential for sub-70°F readings despite some model spread on marine layer strength and onshore flow. Trader consensus, with 67°F or below as the leading implied probability at 46.5%, appears to weigh historical late-August variability and possible localized cooling against the current above-average nighttime warmth, while bins clustered around 70–77°F capture the most probable range based on official guidance. A shift in steering patterns or stronger sea breeze could tighten the outcome further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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