**Forecast models for Shenzhen on August 29, 2026, show a narrow spread centered on 32–34°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light rain or storm chances, producing closely matched market odds of 26% each for 33°C and 34°C.** Subtropical monsoon conditions in late August feature high humidity, weak steering winds, and afternoon convective activity that limits peak solar heating when clouds or showers develop. Recent model consensus from sources like WeatherBug (≈33°C high with 55–60% storm risk), Yr.no (32°C), and Weather15 (35°C with light rain) illustrates typical ensemble spread driven by small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and localized sea-breeze effects. These factors readily differentiate the leading outcomes: greater afternoon clearing or delayed convection favors 34–35°C, while earlier or heavier showers cap readings nearer 32°C. With resolution two days away, updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will likely tighten the distribution around the current 32–34°C cluster.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 29?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 29?
33°C 26%
34°C 25%
32°C 19%
35°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
19%
33°C
26%
34°C
25%
35°C
16%
36°C
7%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 26%
34°C 25%
32°C 19%
35°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
27°C or below
$246 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$214 Vol.
1%
30°C
$46 Vol.
2%
31°C
$35 Vol.
8%
32°C
$46 Vol.
19%
33°C
$110 Vol.
26%
34°C
$29 Vol.
25%
35°C
$36 Vol.
16%
36°C
$153 Vol.
7%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Shenzhen on August 29, 2026, show a narrow spread centered on 32–34°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light rain or storm chances, producing closely matched market odds of 26% each for 33°C and 34°C.**
Subtropical monsoon conditions in late August feature high humidity, weak steering winds, and afternoon convective activity that limits peak solar heating when clouds or showers develop. Recent model consensus from sources like WeatherBug (≈33°C high with 55–60% storm risk), Yr.no (32°C), and Weather15 (35°C with light rain) illustrates typical ensemble spread driven by small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and localized sea-breeze effects.
These factors readily differentiate the leading outcomes: greater afternoon clearing or delayed convection favors 34–35°C, while earlier or heavier showers cap readings nearer 32°C. With resolution two days away, updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will likely tighten the distribution around the current 32–34°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,014End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Shenzhen on August 29, 2026, show a narrow spread centered on 32–34°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light rain or storm chances, producing closely matched market odds of 26% each for 33°C and 34°C.**
Subtropical monsoon conditions in late August feature high humidity, weak steering winds, and afternoon convective activity that limits peak solar heating when clouds or showers develop. Recent model consensus from sources like WeatherBug (≈33°C high with 55–60% storm risk), Yr.no (32°C), and Weather15 (35°C with light rain) illustrates typical ensemble spread driven by small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and localized sea-breeze effects.
These factors readily differentiate the leading outcomes: greater afternoon clearing or delayed convection favors 34–35°C, while earlier or heavier showers cap readings nearer 32°C. With resolution two days away, updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will likely tighten the distribution around the current 32–34°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,014End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Shenzhen on August 29, 2026, show a narrow spread centered on 32–34°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light rain or storm chances, producing closely matched market odds of 26% each for 33°C and 34°C.** Subtropical monsoon conditions in late August feature high humidity, weak steering winds, and afternoon convective activity that limits peak solar heating when clouds or showers develop. Recent model consensus from sources like WeatherBug (≈33°C high with 55–60% storm risk), Yr.no (32°C), and Weather15 (35°C with light rain) illustrates typical ensemble spread driven by small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and localized sea-breeze effects. These factors readily differentiate the leading outcomes: greater afternoon clearing or delayed convection favors 34–35°C, while earlier or heavier showers cap readings nearer 32°C. With resolution two days away, updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will likely tighten the distribution around the current 32–34°C cluster.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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