Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows of 26–28°C for Shenzhen on August 29, driven by persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and light winds that suppress radiative cooling in this subtropical monsoon climate. Dew points near 26°C limit temperature drops, while scattered thundershowers and lingering moisture from earlier heavy rainfall on August 27 further moderate nighttime conditions. These align with typical late-August baselines around 25–26°C but reflect slightly elevated readings from ongoing atmospheric stability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread of ensemble outputs and the absence of any cooling front or clear-sky development that could push minima lower before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 29?
31°C 84%
30°C 81%
27°C 47%
28°C 43%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
9%
23°C
10%
24°C
12%
25°C
31%
26°C
38%
27°C
47%
28°C
43%
29°C
42%
30°C
81%
31°C
84%
32°C or higher
1%
31°C 84%
30°C 81%
27°C 47%
28°C 43%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$18 Vol.
9%
23°C
$20 Vol.
10%
24°C
$0 Vol.
12%
25°C
$0 Vol.
31%
26°C
$0 Vol.
38%
27°C
$0 Vol.
47%
28°C
$0 Vol.
43%
29°C
$0 Vol.
42%
30°C
$5 Vol.
81%
31°C
$5 Vol.
84%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows of 26–28°C for Shenzhen on August 29, driven by persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and light winds that suppress radiative cooling in this subtropical monsoon climate. Dew points near 26°C limit temperature drops, while scattered thundershowers and lingering moisture from earlier heavy rainfall on August 27 further moderate nighttime conditions. These align with typical late-August baselines around 25–26°C but reflect slightly elevated readings from ongoing atmospheric stability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread of ensemble outputs and the absence of any cooling front or clear-sky development that could push minima lower before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$48End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows of 26–28°C for Shenzhen on August 29, driven by persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and light winds that suppress radiative cooling in this subtropical monsoon climate. Dew points near 26°C limit temperature drops, while scattered thundershowers and lingering moisture from earlier heavy rainfall on August 27 further moderate nighttime conditions. These align with typical late-August baselines around 25–26°C but reflect slightly elevated readings from ongoing atmospheric stability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread of ensemble outputs and the absence of any cooling front or clear-sky development that could push minima lower before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows of 26–28°C for Shenzhen on August 29, driven by persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and light winds that suppress radiative cooling in this subtropical monsoon climate. Dew points near 26°C limit temperature drops, while scattered thundershowers and lingering moisture from earlier heavy rainfall on August 27 further moderate nighttime conditions. These align with typical late-August baselines around 25–26°C but reflect slightly elevated readings from ongoing atmospheric stability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread of ensemble outputs and the absence of any cooling front or clear-sky development that could push minima lower before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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