Recent operational forecast guidance from models including GFS and ECMWF places Ankara’s August 27 maximum temperature at 32–33°C under a stable late-summer high-pressure regime with mostly clear skies. This tight clustering around the two leading market outcomes reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day northerly flow that could shave a degree or allow brief enhancement. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide context, while the absence of significant moisture or frontal systems reduces the chance of larger deviations. Traders will monitor final Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and the next model cycle for any shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 27?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 27?
33°C 48%
32°C 37%
34°C 12%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
37%
33°C
48%
34°C
12%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 48%
32°C 37%
34°C 12%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
28°C or below
$67 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$73 Vol.
1%
31°C
$34 Vol.
7%
32°C
$149 Vol.
37%
33°C
$156 Vol.
48%
34°C
$47 Vol.
12%
35°C
$0 Vol.
2%
36°C
$87 Vol.
1%
37°C
$208 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$381 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent operational forecast guidance from models including GFS and ECMWF places Ankara’s August 27 maximum temperature at 32–33°C under a stable late-summer high-pressure regime with mostly clear skies. This tight clustering around the two leading market outcomes reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day northerly flow that could shave a degree or allow brief enhancement. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide context, while the absence of significant moisture or frontal systems reduces the chance of larger deviations. Traders will monitor final Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and the next model cycle for any shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,203End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent operational forecast guidance from models including GFS and ECMWF places Ankara’s August 27 maximum temperature at 32–33°C under a stable late-summer high-pressure regime with mostly clear skies. This tight clustering around the two leading market outcomes reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day northerly flow that could shave a degree or allow brief enhancement. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide context, while the absence of significant moisture or frontal systems reduces the chance of larger deviations. Traders will monitor final Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and the next model cycle for any shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,203End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent operational forecast guidance from models including GFS and ECMWF places Ankara’s August 27 maximum temperature at 32–33°C under a stable late-summer high-pressure regime with mostly clear skies. This tight clustering around the two leading market outcomes reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day northerly flow that could shave a degree or allow brief enhancement. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide context, while the absence of significant moisture or frontal systems reduces the chance of larger deviations. Traders will monitor final Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and the next model cycle for any shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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