Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a maximum temperature of 31–33°C in Ankara on August 25, 2026, under persistent high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeasterly winds that limit mixing and moisture influx. This stable pattern supports daytime heating to the mid-30s Celsius range while preventing extremes, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. The market's strong weighting toward 31°C (50.5%) and 32°C (26.0%) reflects this model consensus, with lower probabilities for 30°C or 33°C+ capturing minor uncertainties in exact peak timing and local microclimate effects. No major shifts in guidance have emerged in the past 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
31°C 51%
32°C 26%
30°C 21%
29°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
21%
31°C
51%
32°C
26%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
31°C 51%
32°C 26%
30°C 21%
29°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
$45 Vol.
1%
27°C
$38 Vol.
1%
28°C
$38 Vol.
1%
29°C
$92 Vol.
6%
30°C
$152 Vol.
21%
31°C
$241 Vol.
51%
32°C
$99 Vol.
26%
33°C
$93 Vol.
5%
34°C
$20 Vol.
1%
35°C
$5 Vol.
2%
36°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a maximum temperature of 31–33°C in Ankara on August 25, 2026, under persistent high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeasterly winds that limit mixing and moisture influx. This stable pattern supports daytime heating to the mid-30s Celsius range while preventing extremes, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. The market's strong weighting toward 31°C (50.5%) and 32°C (26.0%) reflects this model consensus, with lower probabilities for 30°C or 33°C+ capturing minor uncertainties in exact peak timing and local microclimate effects. No major shifts in guidance have emerged in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$828End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a maximum temperature of 31–33°C in Ankara on August 25, 2026, under persistent high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeasterly winds that limit mixing and moisture influx. This stable pattern supports daytime heating to the mid-30s Celsius range while preventing extremes, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. The market's strong weighting toward 31°C (50.5%) and 32°C (26.0%) reflects this model consensus, with lower probabilities for 30°C or 33°C+ capturing minor uncertainties in exact peak timing and local microclimate effects. No major shifts in guidance have emerged in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$828End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a maximum temperature of 31–33°C in Ankara on August 25, 2026, under persistent high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeasterly winds that limit mixing and moisture influx. This stable pattern supports daytime heating to the mid-30s Celsius range while preventing extremes, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. The market's strong weighting toward 31°C (50.5%) and 32°C (26.0%) reflects this model consensus, with lower probabilities for 30°C or 33°C+ capturing minor uncertainties in exact peak timing and local microclimate effects. No major shifts in guidance have emerged in the past 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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