Recent heavy rainfall and influx of cooler air from the north have driven a sharp temperature drop in Chongqing, shifting trader focus toward 26–28°C highs for August 30. Official forecasts from sources including the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau highlight mid-to-heavy precipitation on the 28th–29th, with western and central areas seeing the strongest cooling under increased cloud cover and lingering moisture. This contrasts with prior highs exceeding 38°C and aligns with model runs projecting limited daytime heating on the 30th amid residual instability. Minor variations in rainfall timing and intensity across ensembles create the tight clustering of implied probabilities around these moderate outcomes, with higher temperatures requiring clearer skies and stronger insolation than currently anticipated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 30?
26°C or below 24%
28°C 22%
27°C 18%
29°C 17%
26°C or below
24%
27°C
18%
28°C
22%
29°C
17%
30°C
13%
31°C
8%
32°C
5%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
26°C or below 24%
28°C 22%
27°C 18%
29°C 17%
26°C or below
24%
27°C
18%
28°C
22%
29°C
17%
30°C
13%
31°C
8%
32°C
5%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall and influx of cooler air from the north have driven a sharp temperature drop in Chongqing, shifting trader focus toward 26–28°C highs for August 30. Official forecasts from sources including the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau highlight mid-to-heavy precipitation on the 28th–29th, with western and central areas seeing the strongest cooling under increased cloud cover and lingering moisture. This contrasts with prior highs exceeding 38°C and aligns with model runs projecting limited daytime heating on the 30th amid residual instability. Minor variations in rainfall timing and intensity across ensembles create the tight clustering of implied probabilities around these moderate outcomes, with higher temperatures requiring clearer skies and stronger insolation than currently anticipated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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