Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily maximum of 31–32°C for Shenzhen on August 30, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. High humidity and light southerly winds further suppress peak heating compared to clearer subtropical summer days. The close 30.5%–28% split between 32°C and 31°C reflects minor model spread in timing and intensity of convective activity, while lower probabilities for 33°C or above stem from the rain-cooled boundary layer expected to persist through peak afternoon hours. Official observations from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau will resolve the market once the 24-hour maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?
32°C 30%
31°C 28%
33°C 18%
30°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
17%
31°C
28%
32°C
30%
33°C
18%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 30%
31°C 28%
33°C 18%
30°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
25°C or below
$46 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$75 Vol.
1%
28°C
$126 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$11 Vol.
17%
31°C
$0 Vol.
28%
32°C
$30 Vol.
30%
33°C
$2 Vol.
18%
34°C
$140 Vol.
7%
35°C or higher
$16 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily maximum of 31–32°C for Shenzhen on August 30, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. High humidity and light southerly winds further suppress peak heating compared to clearer subtropical summer days. The close 30.5%–28% split between 32°C and 31°C reflects minor model spread in timing and intensity of convective activity, while lower probabilities for 33°C or above stem from the rain-cooled boundary layer expected to persist through peak afternoon hours. Official observations from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau will resolve the market once the 24-hour maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$501End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily maximum of 31–32°C for Shenzhen on August 30, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. High humidity and light southerly winds further suppress peak heating compared to clearer subtropical summer days. The close 30.5%–28% split between 32°C and 31°C reflects minor model spread in timing and intensity of convective activity, while lower probabilities for 33°C or above stem from the rain-cooled boundary layer expected to persist through peak afternoon hours. Official observations from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau will resolve the market once the 24-hour maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$501End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily maximum of 31–32°C for Shenzhen on August 30, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. High humidity and light southerly winds further suppress peak heating compared to clearer subtropical summer days. The close 30.5%–28% split between 32°C and 31°C reflects minor model spread in timing and intensity of convective activity, while lower probabilities for 33°C or above stem from the rain-cooled boundary layer expected to persist through peak afternoon hours. Official observations from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau will resolve the market once the 24-hour maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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