Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a minimum near 66°F in New York City on August 29 under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly flow following frontal passage, supporting the narrow lead for the 66-67°F bin. Clear conditions overnight will promote radiative cooling from surfaces after daytime highs reach the low 80s, while dew points in the mid-50s to low 60s limit further drops and light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate the low. Minor variations in cloud timing, exact wind speeds, or urban heat island effects could shift the reading into adjacent 64-65°F or 68-69°F buckets, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds reflecting limited forecast spread this close to resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on August 29?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 29?
55°F or below 61%
68-69°F 49%
74°F or higher 48%
58-59°F 46%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
55°F or below
61%
56-57°F
23%
58-59°F
46%
60-61°F
43%
62-63°F
46%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
37%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
46%
72-73°F
43%
74°F or higher
48%
55°F or below 61%
68-69°F 49%
74°F or higher 48%
58-59°F 46%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
55°F or below
$0 Vol.
61%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
23%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
46%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
43%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
46%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
26%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
37%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
49%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
46%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
43%
74°F or higher
$0 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a minimum near 66°F in New York City on August 29 under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly flow following frontal passage, supporting the narrow lead for the 66-67°F bin. Clear conditions overnight will promote radiative cooling from surfaces after daytime highs reach the low 80s, while dew points in the mid-50s to low 60s limit further drops and light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate the low. Minor variations in cloud timing, exact wind speeds, or urban heat island effects could shift the reading into adjacent 64-65°F or 68-69°F buckets, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds reflecting limited forecast spread this close to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a minimum near 66°F in New York City on August 29 under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly flow following frontal passage, supporting the narrow lead for the 66-67°F bin. Clear conditions overnight will promote radiative cooling from surfaces after daytime highs reach the low 80s, while dew points in the mid-50s to low 60s limit further drops and light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate the low. Minor variations in cloud timing, exact wind speeds, or urban heat island effects could shift the reading into adjacent 64-65°F or 68-69°F buckets, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds reflecting limited forecast spread this close to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a minimum near 66°F in New York City on August 29 under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly flow following frontal passage, supporting the narrow lead for the 66-67°F bin. Clear conditions overnight will promote radiative cooling from surfaces after daytime highs reach the low 80s, while dew points in the mid-50s to low 60s limit further drops and light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate the low. Minor variations in cloud timing, exact wind speeds, or urban heat island effects could shift the reading into adjacent 64-65°F or 68-69°F buckets, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds reflecting limited forecast spread this close to resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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