Forecasts for Chengdu on August 28 show thunderstorm activity and widespread cloud cover from an approaching weather system, moderating overnight lows through reduced radiative cooling and elevated humidity. Official and ensemble guidance from sources like the Met Office and regional models consistently point to minimum temperatures in the 23–25°C range, with timing of heaviest rain and wind shifts as key variables that could nudge the exact low by 1–2°C. Trader pricing clusters tightly around 25–27°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus amid typical late-August monsoon variability and limited historical analogs for precise sub-degree resolution this close to the date. Updated runs from global models will likely refine the minimum before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 28?
26°C 50%
25°C 43%
27°C 43%
28°C 43%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
41%
24°C
39%
25°C
43%
26°C
50%
27°C
43%
28°C
43%
29°C or higher
41%
26°C 50%
25°C 43%
27°C 43%
28°C 43%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
$133 Vol.
1%
20°C
$60 Vol.
1%
21°C
$100 Vol.
1%
22°C
$27 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
41%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
43%
26°C
$0 Vol.
50%
27°C
$0 Vol.
43%
28°C
$0 Vol.
43%
29°C or higher
$130 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Chengdu on August 28 show thunderstorm activity and widespread cloud cover from an approaching weather system, moderating overnight lows through reduced radiative cooling and elevated humidity. Official and ensemble guidance from sources like the Met Office and regional models consistently point to minimum temperatures in the 23–25°C range, with timing of heaviest rain and wind shifts as key variables that could nudge the exact low by 1–2°C. Trader pricing clusters tightly around 25–27°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus amid typical late-August monsoon variability and limited historical analogs for precise sub-degree resolution this close to the date. Updated runs from global models will likely refine the minimum before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$451End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Chengdu on August 28 show thunderstorm activity and widespread cloud cover from an approaching weather system, moderating overnight lows through reduced radiative cooling and elevated humidity. Official and ensemble guidance from sources like the Met Office and regional models consistently point to minimum temperatures in the 23–25°C range, with timing of heaviest rain and wind shifts as key variables that could nudge the exact low by 1–2°C. Trader pricing clusters tightly around 25–27°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus amid typical late-August monsoon variability and limited historical analogs for precise sub-degree resolution this close to the date. Updated runs from global models will likely refine the minimum before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$451End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts for Chengdu on August 28 show thunderstorm activity and widespread cloud cover from an approaching weather system, moderating overnight lows through reduced radiative cooling and elevated humidity. Official and ensemble guidance from sources like the Met Office and regional models consistently point to minimum temperatures in the 23–25°C range, with timing of heaviest rain and wind shifts as key variables that could nudge the exact low by 1–2°C. Trader pricing clusters tightly around 25–27°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus amid typical late-August monsoon variability and limited historical analogs for precise sub-degree resolution this close to the date. Updated runs from global models will likely refine the minimum before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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