**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 27 centers on late-summer climatology and short-range forecast guidance, with market-implied odds favoring a minimum near 24–26°C.** In Chengdu’s humid subtropical regime, daily lows typically decline through August from roughly 23–24°C early in the month toward 21–22°C by month’s end, driven by lengthening nights and weakening monsoon moisture. Current model consensus points to partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms on the 27th, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and support minima around 24–25°C. Recent runs show modest spread arising from uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing; stronger or more persistent convection could drop readings toward 23°C, while clearer conditions or warmer advection would favor 26°C or higher. With resolution imminent, updates from the China Meteorological Administration’s next high-resolution model cycles will be the key catalyst for any sharp revision in probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 27?
23°C 49%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
30°C or higher 45%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
20°C or below
39%
21°C
12%
22°C
40%
23°C
49%
24°C
24%
25°C
27%
26°C
30%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
45%
23°C 49%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
30°C or higher 45%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C
$0 Vol.
12%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
24%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
30%
27°C
$0 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 27 centers on late-summer climatology and short-range forecast guidance, with market-implied odds favoring a minimum near 24–26°C.** In Chengdu’s humid subtropical regime, daily lows typically decline through August from roughly 23–24°C early in the month toward 21–22°C by month’s end, driven by lengthening nights and weakening monsoon moisture. Current model consensus points to partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms on the 27th, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and support minima around 24–25°C. Recent runs show modest spread arising from uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing; stronger or more persistent convection could drop readings toward 23°C, while clearer conditions or warmer advection would favor 26°C or higher. With resolution imminent, updates from the China Meteorological Administration’s next high-resolution model cycles will be the key catalyst for any sharp revision in probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 27 centers on late-summer climatology and short-range forecast guidance, with market-implied odds favoring a minimum near 24–26°C.** In Chengdu’s humid subtropical regime, daily lows typically decline through August from roughly 23–24°C early in the month toward 21–22°C by month’s end, driven by lengthening nights and weakening monsoon moisture. Current model consensus points to partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms on the 27th, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and support minima around 24–25°C. Recent runs show modest spread arising from uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing; stronger or more persistent convection could drop readings toward 23°C, while clearer conditions or warmer advection would favor 26°C or higher. With resolution imminent, updates from the China Meteorological Administration’s next high-resolution model cycles will be the key catalyst for any sharp revision in probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 27 centers on late-summer climatology and short-range forecast guidance, with market-implied odds favoring a minimum near 24–26°C.** In Chengdu’s humid subtropical regime, daily lows typically decline through August from roughly 23–24°C early in the month toward 21–22°C by month’s end, driven by lengthening nights and weakening monsoon moisture. Current model consensus points to partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms on the 27th, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and support minima around 24–25°C. Recent runs show modest spread arising from uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing; stronger or more persistent convection could drop readings toward 23°C, while clearer conditions or warmer advection would favor 26°C or higher. With resolution imminent, updates from the China Meteorological Administration’s next high-resolution model cycles will be the key catalyst for any sharp revision in probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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