Weather models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over northern Italy, supporting maximum temperatures in Milan near 29–31°C for August 29. This consensus drives the market's leading outcomes at 30°C (44%) and 29°C (32%), with 31°C at 16%, reflecting typical late-August climatology where diurnal heating peaks under clear skies and light winds. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short forecast horizon, though minor shifts in advection or cloud cover could adjust the peak by 1–2°C. No major model divergences or sudden synoptic changes have emerged recently, keeping trader focus on the latest high-resolution runs and official updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 29?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 29?
30°C 44%
29°C 32%
31°C 16%
28°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
32%
30°C
44%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 44%
29°C 32%
31°C 16%
28°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
23°C or below
$379 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$364 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$65 Vol.
3%
28°C
$321 Vol.
6%
29°C
$610 Vol.
32%
30°C
$351 Vol.
44%
31°C
$595 Vol.
16%
32°C
$82 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$139 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Weather models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over northern Italy, supporting maximum temperatures in Milan near 29–31°C for August 29. This consensus drives the market's leading outcomes at 30°C (44%) and 29°C (32%), with 31°C at 16%, reflecting typical late-August climatology where diurnal heating peaks under clear skies and light winds. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short forecast horizon, though minor shifts in advection or cloud cover could adjust the peak by 1–2°C. No major model divergences or sudden synoptic changes have emerged recently, keeping trader focus on the latest high-resolution runs and official updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,147End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Weather models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over northern Italy, supporting maximum temperatures in Milan near 29–31°C for August 29. This consensus drives the market's leading outcomes at 30°C (44%) and 29°C (32%), with 31°C at 16%, reflecting typical late-August climatology where diurnal heating peaks under clear skies and light winds. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short forecast horizon, though minor shifts in advection or cloud cover could adjust the peak by 1–2°C. No major model divergences or sudden synoptic changes have emerged recently, keeping trader focus on the latest high-resolution runs and official updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,147End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Weather models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over northern Italy, supporting maximum temperatures in Milan near 29–31°C for August 29. This consensus drives the market's leading outcomes at 30°C (44%) and 29°C (32%), with 31°C at 16%, reflecting typical late-August climatology where diurnal heating peaks under clear skies and light winds. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short forecast horizon, though minor shifts in advection or cloud cover could adjust the peak by 1–2°C. No major model divergences or sudden synoptic changes have emerged recently, keeping trader focus on the latest high-resolution runs and official updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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