Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a transitional weather pattern over Wuhan on August 29, with increasing cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and northerly winds moderating overnight cooling compared to recent clear, hot nights. This setup typically yields minimum temperatures in the 24–27°C range, as reduced radiative heat loss under clouds and modest advection of slightly cooler air limit drops below seasonal norms around 24–25°C. Model consensus shows some spread due to exact rain timing and wind strength, creating genuine uncertainty that explains the tightly matched market-implied odds near 25–26°C versus slightly lower outcomes. Official guidance from regional agencies will refine details ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 29?
22°C or below 89%
28°C 46%
25°C 45%
26°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
89%
23°C
10%
24°C
44%
25°C
45%
26°C
44%
27°C
26%
28°C
46%
29°C
5%
30°C
8%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
43%
22°C or below 89%
28°C 46%
25°C 45%
26°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
89%
23°C
$30 Vol.
10%
24°C
$0 Vol.
44%
25°C
$0 Vol.
45%
26°C
$0 Vol.
44%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
46%
29°C
$15 Vol.
5%
30°C
$5 Vol.
8%
31°C
$5 Vol.
8%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a transitional weather pattern over Wuhan on August 29, with increasing cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and northerly winds moderating overnight cooling compared to recent clear, hot nights. This setup typically yields minimum temperatures in the 24–27°C range, as reduced radiative heat loss under clouds and modest advection of slightly cooler air limit drops below seasonal norms around 24–25°C. Model consensus shows some spread due to exact rain timing and wind strength, creating genuine uncertainty that explains the tightly matched market-implied odds near 25–26°C versus slightly lower outcomes. Official guidance from regional agencies will refine details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$65End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a transitional weather pattern over Wuhan on August 29, with increasing cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and northerly winds moderating overnight cooling compared to recent clear, hot nights. This setup typically yields minimum temperatures in the 24–27°C range, as reduced radiative heat loss under clouds and modest advection of slightly cooler air limit drops below seasonal norms around 24–25°C. Model consensus shows some spread due to exact rain timing and wind strength, creating genuine uncertainty that explains the tightly matched market-implied odds near 25–26°C versus slightly lower outcomes. Official guidance from regional agencies will refine details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$65End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a transitional weather pattern over Wuhan on August 29, with increasing cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and northerly winds moderating overnight cooling compared to recent clear, hot nights. This setup typically yields minimum temperatures in the 24–27°C range, as reduced radiative heat loss under clouds and modest advection of slightly cooler air limit drops below seasonal norms around 24–25°C. Model consensus shows some spread due to exact rain timing and wind strength, creating genuine uncertainty that explains the tightly matched market-implied odds near 25–26°C versus slightly lower outcomes. Official guidance from regional agencies will refine details ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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