Recent official forecasts from China's Central Meteorological Administration and international models show Wuhan overnight lows on August 28 stabilizing near 27°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds. Prolonged heat following the end of the Sanfu period has kept surface temperatures elevated, while modest dew points and limited cloud cover support radiative cooling that aligns with the market's tight clustering between 26°C and 27°C implied probabilities. Upcoming model runs and any late-day shower timing could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 28?
27°C 53%
28°C 39%
26°C 36%
25°C 34%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
34%
26°C
36%
27°C
53%
28°C
39%
29°C
32%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 53%
28°C 39%
26°C 36%
25°C 34%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
34%
26°C
36%
27°C
53%
28°C
39%
29°C
32%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from China's Central Meteorological Administration and international models show Wuhan overnight lows on August 28 stabilizing near 27°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds. Prolonged heat following the end of the Sanfu period has kept surface temperatures elevated, while modest dew points and limited cloud cover support radiative cooling that aligns with the market's tight clustering between 26°C and 27°C implied probabilities. Upcoming model runs and any late-day shower timing could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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