Skip to main content
icon for Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 30?

Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 30?

icon for Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 30?

Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 30?

Aug 29

Aug 30

Aug 29

Aug 30

30°C or higher 78%

20°C or below 49%

26°C 37%

25°C 27%

Polymarket
NEW

30°C or higher 78%

20°C or below 49%

26°C 37%

25°C 27%

Polymarket
NEW

20°C or below

$15 Vol.

49%

21°C

$15 Vol.

8%

22°C

$15 Vol.

21%

23°C

$0 Vol.

26%

24°C

$0 Vol.

26%

25°C

$0 Vol.

27%

26°C

$0 Vol.

37%

27°C

$0 Vol.

27%

28°C

$0 Vol.

26%

29°C

$20 Vol.

8%

30°C or higher

$15 Vol.

78%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**El Niño conditions currently strengthening across the equatorial Pacific are the dominant factor elevating minimum temperatures in Panama City, with official outlooks from IMHPA projecting 2–3 °C above-normal warmth through August–October 2026.** This aligns with trader consensus favoring a lowest temperature of 30 °C or higher (40.5 % implied probability) or 26 °C (36.5 %), as the phenomenon suppresses rainfall while enhancing heat retention under humid tropical conditions. Typical August lows near 24–25 °C provide historical context, yet persistent above-average sea-surface temperatures and reduced cloud cover during the rainy season increase the likelihood of elevated nighttime readings. Forecast uncertainty around exact cloud cover, convective timing, and localized steering patterns keeps several outcomes clustered near 25–27 °C, with new daily observations and model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$80
End Date
Aug 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:30 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**El Niño conditions currently strengthening across the equatorial Pacific are the dominant factor elevating minimum temperatures in Panama City, with official outlooks from IMHPA projecting 2–3 °C above-normal warmth through August–October 2026.** This aligns with trader consensus favoring a lowest temperature of 30 °C or higher (40.5 % implied probability) or 26 °C (36.5 %), as the phenomenon suppresses rainfall while enhancing heat retention under humid tropical conditions. Typical August lows near 24–25 °C provide historical context, yet persistent above-average sea-surface temperatures and reduced cloud cover during the rainy season increase the likelihood of elevated nighttime readings. Forecast uncertainty around exact cloud cover, convective timing, and localized steering patterns keeps several outcomes clustered near 25–27 °C, with new daily observations and model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$80
End Date
Aug 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:30 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Related

icon for Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 25°C on August 29?

Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 25°C on August 29?

49%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 30?

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 30?

37%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 29?

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 29?

44%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30°C or higher" at 39%, followed by "26°C" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 30?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 30?" is "30°C or higher" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "26°C" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.