Official National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami indicate overnight lows of 80–82°F on August 31, driven by persistent easterly flow, high dew points near 78°F, and scattered nocturnal thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading 80–81°F bin at 35% implied probability while supporting secondary weight on 78–79°F. Warmer outcomes above 84°F receive lower trader support consistent with the absence of atypical warming mechanisms or stalled fronts. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through the weekend will provide the next key data points for any model shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 31?
82-83°F 47%
74-75°F 42%
76-77°F 42%
84-85°F 42%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
73°F or below
17%
74-75°F
42%
76-77°F
42%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
47%
84-85°F
42%
86-87°F
42%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
36%
92°F or higher
15%
82-83°F 47%
74-75°F 42%
76-77°F 42%
84-85°F 42%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
73°F or below
$0 Vol.
17%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
42%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
42%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
23%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
35%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
47%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
42%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
42%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
36%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
36%
92°F or higher
$0 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami indicate overnight lows of 80–82°F on August 31, driven by persistent easterly flow, high dew points near 78°F, and scattered nocturnal thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading 80–81°F bin at 35% implied probability while supporting secondary weight on 78–79°F. Warmer outcomes above 84°F receive lower trader support consistent with the absence of atypical warming mechanisms or stalled fronts. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through the weekend will provide the next key data points for any model shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami indicate overnight lows of 80–82°F on August 31, driven by persistent easterly flow, high dew points near 78°F, and scattered nocturnal thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading 80–81°F bin at 35% implied probability while supporting secondary weight on 78–79°F. Warmer outcomes above 84°F receive lower trader support consistent with the absence of atypical warming mechanisms or stalled fronts. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through the weekend will provide the next key data points for any model shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami indicate overnight lows of 80–82°F on August 31, driven by persistent easterly flow, high dew points near 78°F, and scattered nocturnal thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading 80–81°F bin at 35% implied probability while supporting secondary weight on 78–79°F. Warmer outcomes above 84°F receive lower trader support consistent with the absence of atypical warming mechanisms or stalled fronts. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through the weekend will provide the next key data points for any model shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions