Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by WeatherBug, Yr, and Met Office indicate daytime highs in Qingdao on August 31 likely reaching 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 5–9 mph and moderate humidity around 60–70%. Coastal sea breezes and the prevailing late-summer pattern are moderating peak values, preventing stronger warming despite clear intervals. This consensus positions 30°C as the leading market outcome at 37% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 31°C, while lower probabilities for 32°C+ reflect limited upside from current guidance. Fresh model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 31?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 31?
30°C 37%
31°C 26%
29°C 25%
32°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
25%
30°C
37%
31°C
26%
32°C
13%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 37%
31°C 26%
29°C 25%
32°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$6 Vol.
10%
29°C
$26 Vol.
25%
30°C
$123 Vol.
37%
31°C
$38 Vol.
26%
32°C
$15 Vol.
13%
33°C
$26 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$57 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$321 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by WeatherBug, Yr, and Met Office indicate daytime highs in Qingdao on August 31 likely reaching 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 5–9 mph and moderate humidity around 60–70%. Coastal sea breezes and the prevailing late-summer pattern are moderating peak values, preventing stronger warming despite clear intervals. This consensus positions 30°C as the leading market outcome at 37% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 31°C, while lower probabilities for 32°C+ reflect limited upside from current guidance. Fresh model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$611End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by WeatherBug, Yr, and Met Office indicate daytime highs in Qingdao on August 31 likely reaching 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 5–9 mph and moderate humidity around 60–70%. Coastal sea breezes and the prevailing late-summer pattern are moderating peak values, preventing stronger warming despite clear intervals. This consensus positions 30°C as the leading market outcome at 37% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 31°C, while lower probabilities for 32°C+ reflect limited upside from current guidance. Fresh model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$611End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by WeatherBug, Yr, and Met Office indicate daytime highs in Qingdao on August 31 likely reaching 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 5–9 mph and moderate humidity around 60–70%. Coastal sea breezes and the prevailing late-summer pattern are moderating peak values, preventing stronger warming despite clear intervals. This consensus positions 30°C as the leading market outcome at 37% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 31°C, while lower probabilities for 32°C+ reflect limited upside from current guidance. Fresh model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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