Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a cooler-than-average day for Tokyo on August 29 due to an approaching weather system bringing widespread cloud cover, northeast winds, and significant rainfall that limits solar heating and daytime warming. This has shifted model consensus toward a daily maximum in the mid-20s Celsius, supporting the market's strongest implied probabilities on 27°C and 28°C outcomes while reducing chances for the 30°C+ range typical of late-August climatology. Official updates from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
27°C 37%
28°C 29%
26°C 14%
29°C 7%
$11,653 Vol.
$11,653 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
14%
27°C
37%
28°C
29%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 37%
28°C 29%
26°C 14%
29°C 7%
$11,653 Vol.
$11,653 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
14%
27°C
37%
28°C
29%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a cooler-than-average day for Tokyo on August 29 due to an approaching weather system bringing widespread cloud cover, northeast winds, and significant rainfall that limits solar heating and daytime warming. This has shifted model consensus toward a daily maximum in the mid-20s Celsius, supporting the market's strongest implied probabilities on 27°C and 28°C outcomes while reducing chances for the 30°C+ range typical of late-August climatology. Official updates from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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