Trader consensus around 31–32°C for Panama City’s August 30 maximum reflects short-range model guidance showing typical late-wet-season conditions: high humidity, widespread afternoon convection, and persistent cloud cover that limits insolation and caps daytime peaks near or slightly above seasonal normals of ~29–30°C. Recent GFS and regional runs indicate scattered thunderstorms developing by midday, with steering patterns favoring onshore flow that enhances moisture and cooling. Differentiation between 31°C and 32°C hinges on the precise timing and intensity of these cells; earlier or stronger convection would favor the lower outcome, while delayed or weaker activity could allow brief clearing and a modest extra degree. Market-implied odds embed this forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 30?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 30?
32°C 34%
31°C 33%
33°C 18%
30°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
33%
32°C
34%
33°C
18%
34°C or higher
5%
32°C 34%
31°C 33%
33°C 18%
30°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
24°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$25 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$2 Vol.
14%
31°C
$50 Vol.
33%
32°C
$93 Vol.
34%
33°C
$16 Vol.
18%
34°C or higher
$12 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 31–32°C for Panama City’s August 30 maximum reflects short-range model guidance showing typical late-wet-season conditions: high humidity, widespread afternoon convection, and persistent cloud cover that limits insolation and caps daytime peaks near or slightly above seasonal normals of ~29–30°C. Recent GFS and regional runs indicate scattered thunderstorms developing by midday, with steering patterns favoring onshore flow that enhances moisture and cooling. Differentiation between 31°C and 32°C hinges on the precise timing and intensity of these cells; earlier or stronger convection would favor the lower outcome, while delayed or weaker activity could allow brief clearing and a modest extra degree. Market-implied odds embed this forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volume
$228End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 31–32°C for Panama City’s August 30 maximum reflects short-range model guidance showing typical late-wet-season conditions: high humidity, widespread afternoon convection, and persistent cloud cover that limits insolation and caps daytime peaks near or slightly above seasonal normals of ~29–30°C. Recent GFS and regional runs indicate scattered thunderstorms developing by midday, with steering patterns favoring onshore flow that enhances moisture and cooling. Differentiation between 31°C and 32°C hinges on the precise timing and intensity of these cells; earlier or stronger convection would favor the lower outcome, while delayed or weaker activity could allow brief clearing and a modest extra degree. Market-implied odds embed this forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$228End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 31–32°C for Panama City’s August 30 maximum reflects short-range model guidance showing typical late-wet-season conditions: high humidity, widespread afternoon convection, and persistent cloud cover that limits insolation and caps daytime peaks near or slightly above seasonal normals of ~29–30°C. Recent GFS and regional runs indicate scattered thunderstorms developing by midday, with steering patterns favoring onshore flow that enhances moisture and cooling. Differentiation between 31°C and 32°C hinges on the precise timing and intensity of these cells; earlier or stronger convection would favor the lower outcome, while delayed or weaker activity could allow brief clearing and a modest extra degree. Market-implied odds embed this forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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