**Forecast consensus from global and regional models indicates a mild overnight minimum around 10–12°C for Buenos Aires on August 30, driven by persistent easterly flow and increasing cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling.** Recent stable high-pressure patterns have kept temperatures above seasonal norms, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and ensemble outputs showing limited overnight drops amid light winds (3–5 m/s) and dew points near 8–9°C. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 6–9°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction can alter the exact low by several degrees; clearer skies would favor deeper cooling toward the lower end of the distribution, while increased moisture or advection maintains milder readings. Upcoming model runs and SMN updates will refine this narrow range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30?
6°C or below 46%
8°C 45%
9°C 44%
16°C or higher 44%
6°C or below
46%
7°C
44%
8°C
45%
9°C
44%
10°C
27%
11°C
20%
12°C
21%
13°C
20%
14°C
20%
15°C
20%
16°C or higher
44%
6°C or below 46%
8°C 45%
9°C 44%
16°C or higher 44%
6°C or below
46%
7°C
44%
8°C
45%
9°C
44%
10°C
27%
11°C
20%
12°C
21%
13°C
20%
14°C
20%
15°C
20%
16°C or higher
44%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from global and regional models indicates a mild overnight minimum around 10–12°C for Buenos Aires on August 30, driven by persistent easterly flow and increasing cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling.** Recent stable high-pressure patterns have kept temperatures above seasonal norms, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and ensemble outputs showing limited overnight drops amid light winds (3–5 m/s) and dew points near 8–9°C. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 6–9°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction can alter the exact low by several degrees; clearer skies would favor deeper cooling toward the lower end of the distribution, while increased moisture or advection maintains milder readings. Upcoming model runs and SMN updates will refine this narrow range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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