Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate radiative cooling under clearing skies and light easterly winds will drive overnight temperatures in Buenos Aires to a minimum near 7°C on August 28. This aligns with observed conditions following recent rainfall that reduced humidity and allowed stronger surface heat loss, consistent with late-winter climatology where clear, calm nights frequently produce lows in the 7–10°C range. The 95% market-implied probability for exactly 7°C reflects trader consensus on model agreement and typical measurement thresholds at official stations. A thicker cloud deck or increased wind speed overnight could limit cooling and push the low above 8°C, while an unexpected cold-air advection would be required to reach 6°C or below. Updated SMN observations through the night will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 28?
7°C 95%
6°C 26%
4°C or below 4%
5°C <1%
$1,577 Vol.
$1,577 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
4°C or below
4%
5°C
1%
6°C
26%
7°C
95%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
7°C 95%
6°C 26%
4°C or below 4%
5°C <1%
$1,577 Vol.
$1,577 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
4°C or below
$149 Vol.
4%
5°C
$29 Vol.
1%
6°C
$35 Vol.
26%
7°C
$533 Vol.
95%
8°C
$296 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$197 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$104 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$93 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$38 Vol.
<1%
14°C or higher
$48 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate radiative cooling under clearing skies and light easterly winds will drive overnight temperatures in Buenos Aires to a minimum near 7°C on August 28. This aligns with observed conditions following recent rainfall that reduced humidity and allowed stronger surface heat loss, consistent with late-winter climatology where clear, calm nights frequently produce lows in the 7–10°C range. The 95% market-implied probability for exactly 7°C reflects trader consensus on model agreement and typical measurement thresholds at official stations. A thicker cloud deck or increased wind speed overnight could limit cooling and push the low above 8°C, while an unexpected cold-air advection would be required to reach 6°C or below. Updated SMN observations through the night will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,577End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate radiative cooling under clearing skies and light easterly winds will drive overnight temperatures in Buenos Aires to a minimum near 7°C on August 28. This aligns with observed conditions following recent rainfall that reduced humidity and allowed stronger surface heat loss, consistent with late-winter climatology where clear, calm nights frequently produce lows in the 7–10°C range. The 95% market-implied probability for exactly 7°C reflects trader consensus on model agreement and typical measurement thresholds at official stations. A thicker cloud deck or increased wind speed overnight could limit cooling and push the low above 8°C, while an unexpected cold-air advection would be required to reach 6°C or below. Updated SMN observations through the night will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,577End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate radiative cooling under clearing skies and light easterly winds will drive overnight temperatures in Buenos Aires to a minimum near 7°C on August 28. This aligns with observed conditions following recent rainfall that reduced humidity and allowed stronger surface heat loss, consistent with late-winter climatology where clear, calm nights frequently produce lows in the 7–10°C range. The 95% market-implied probability for exactly 7°C reflects trader consensus on model agreement and typical measurement thresholds at official stations. A thicker cloud deck or increased wind speed overnight could limit cooling and push the low above 8°C, while an unexpected cold-air advection would be required to reach 6°C or below. Updated SMN observations through the night will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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