**Forecast models from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international ensembles (GFS) indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Karachi on August 30, 2026, driven by the city's coastal setting, high humidity (80-90%), and moderate southwest winds that limit nocturnal cooling.** Persistent cloud cover from residual monsoon moisture and the absence of strong low-pressure systems further suppress temperature drops, consistent with recent overnight lows of 26-27°C. Low seasonal rainfall tied to El Niño conditions has maintained relatively stable, warm nights without significant cool-air advection. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 26°C leading at 39.5% while nearby values (25-28°C) cluster around 25-27% each; probabilities fall sharply below 23°C or at 30°C+ due to the narrow expected diurnal range of roughly 4-6°C under these conditions. Upcoming model runs and official PMD updates will provide the final resolution data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on August 30?
31°C or higher 65%
26°C 40%
22°C 33%
27°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
5%
22°C
33%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
40%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
25%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
65%
31°C or higher 65%
26°C 40%
22°C 33%
27°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$151 Vol.
5%
22°C
$21 Vol.
33%
23°C
$15 Vol.
25%
24°C
$15 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
40%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$9 Vol.
25%
30°C
$135 Vol.
3%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international ensembles (GFS) indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Karachi on August 30, 2026, driven by the city's coastal setting, high humidity (80-90%), and moderate southwest winds that limit nocturnal cooling.**
Persistent cloud cover from residual monsoon moisture and the absence of strong low-pressure systems further suppress temperature drops, consistent with recent overnight lows of 26-27°C. Low seasonal rainfall tied to El Niño conditions has maintained relatively stable, warm nights without significant cool-air advection.
Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 26°C leading at 39.5% while nearby values (25-28°C) cluster around 25-27% each; probabilities fall sharply below 23°C or at 30°C+ due to the narrow expected diurnal range of roughly 4-6°C under these conditions. Upcoming model runs and official PMD updates will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$351End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international ensembles (GFS) indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Karachi on August 30, 2026, driven by the city's coastal setting, high humidity (80-90%), and moderate southwest winds that limit nocturnal cooling.**
Persistent cloud cover from residual monsoon moisture and the absence of strong low-pressure systems further suppress temperature drops, consistent with recent overnight lows of 26-27°C. Low seasonal rainfall tied to El Niño conditions has maintained relatively stable, warm nights without significant cool-air advection.
Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 26°C leading at 39.5% while nearby values (25-28°C) cluster around 25-27% each; probabilities fall sharply below 23°C or at 30°C+ due to the narrow expected diurnal range of roughly 4-6°C under these conditions. Upcoming model runs and official PMD updates will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$351End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international ensembles (GFS) indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Karachi on August 30, 2026, driven by the city's coastal setting, high humidity (80-90%), and moderate southwest winds that limit nocturnal cooling.** Persistent cloud cover from residual monsoon moisture and the absence of strong low-pressure systems further suppress temperature drops, consistent with recent overnight lows of 26-27°C. Low seasonal rainfall tied to El Niño conditions has maintained relatively stable, warm nights without significant cool-air advection. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 26°C leading at 39.5% while nearby values (25-28°C) cluster around 25-27% each; probabilities fall sharply below 23°C or at 30°C+ due to the narrow expected diurnal range of roughly 4-6°C under these conditions. Upcoming model runs and official PMD updates will provide the final resolution data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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