Current forecast models indicate stable late-monsoon conditions over Karachi, with southwest winds, high humidity (70-90%), and persistent cloud cover limiting nighttime radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures clustered in the mid-20s °C. Official guidance and ensemble runs project overnight lows near 26-27°C on August 28, consistent with recent observed minima around 26.6°C and seasonal norms of 26-27°C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 24-28°C because small variations in cloud thickness, wind speed, or localized moisture can shift the exact minimum by 1-2°C, while extreme outliers remain improbable given the absence of major synoptic changes or stronger cooling mechanisms in the short term.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on August 28?
29°C 87%
27°C 46%
25°C 45%
26°C 45%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
9%
23°C
9%
24°C
43%
25°C
45%
26°C
45%
27°C
46%
28°C
44%
29°C
87%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
9%
29°C 87%
27°C 46%
25°C 45%
26°C 45%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
21°C or below
$203 Vol.
4%
22°C
$5 Vol.
9%
23°C
$32 Vol.
9%
24°C
$22 Vol.
43%
25°C
$0 Vol.
45%
26°C
$0 Vol.
45%
27°C
$0 Vol.
46%
28°C
$0 Vol.
44%
29°C
$15 Vol.
87%
30°C
$15 Vol.
19%
31°C or higher
$32 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate stable late-monsoon conditions over Karachi, with southwest winds, high humidity (70-90%), and persistent cloud cover limiting nighttime radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures clustered in the mid-20s °C. Official guidance and ensemble runs project overnight lows near 26-27°C on August 28, consistent with recent observed minima around 26.6°C and seasonal norms of 26-27°C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 24-28°C because small variations in cloud thickness, wind speed, or localized moisture can shift the exact minimum by 1-2°C, while extreme outliers remain improbable given the absence of major synoptic changes or stronger cooling mechanisms in the short term.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$324End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate stable late-monsoon conditions over Karachi, with southwest winds, high humidity (70-90%), and persistent cloud cover limiting nighttime radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures clustered in the mid-20s °C. Official guidance and ensemble runs project overnight lows near 26-27°C on August 28, consistent with recent observed minima around 26.6°C and seasonal norms of 26-27°C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 24-28°C because small variations in cloud thickness, wind speed, or localized moisture can shift the exact minimum by 1-2°C, while extreme outliers remain improbable given the absence of major synoptic changes or stronger cooling mechanisms in the short term.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$324End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate stable late-monsoon conditions over Karachi, with southwest winds, high humidity (70-90%), and persistent cloud cover limiting nighttime radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures clustered in the mid-20s °C. Official guidance and ensemble runs project overnight lows near 26-27°C on August 28, consistent with recent observed minima around 26.6°C and seasonal norms of 26-27°C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 24-28°C because small variations in cloud thickness, wind speed, or localized moisture can shift the exact minimum by 1-2°C, while extreme outliers remain improbable given the absence of major synoptic changes or stronger cooling mechanisms in the short term.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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