Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 28 points to overnight minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s under a persistent maritime tropical air mass, with easterly winds near 5–10 mph limiting mixing and promoting modest radiative cooling after daytime highs near 90°F. Dew points holding in the mid-to-upper 70s sustain high humidity that curbs sharp drops, while any lingering afternoon convection or variable cloud cover could further moderate the low. Historical August averages near 77–78°F provide context, yet the lack of frontal intrusions or drier air keeps consensus skewed toward 78–81°F outcomes. Traders weigh subtle differences in forecast model runs for wind speed, sky cover, and boundary-layer moisture that determine whether the minimum settles at 78–79°F or edges into the 80–81°F bin, with final resolution hinging on official Miami observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 28?
80-81°F 50%
78-79°F 32%
84-85°F 22%
82-83°F 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
22%
86°F or higher
8%
80-81°F 50%
78-79°F 32%
84-85°F 22%
82-83°F 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
67°F or below
$362 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$5 Vol.
7%
70-71°F
$21 Vol.
10%
72-73°F
$35 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$126 Vol.
9%
76-77°F
$42 Vol.
13%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
32%
80-81°F
$14 Vol.
41%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
22%
86°F or higher
$5 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 28 points to overnight minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s under a persistent maritime tropical air mass, with easterly winds near 5–10 mph limiting mixing and promoting modest radiative cooling after daytime highs near 90°F. Dew points holding in the mid-to-upper 70s sustain high humidity that curbs sharp drops, while any lingering afternoon convection or variable cloud cover could further moderate the low. Historical August averages near 77–78°F provide context, yet the lack of frontal intrusions or drier air keeps consensus skewed toward 78–81°F outcomes. Traders weigh subtle differences in forecast model runs for wind speed, sky cover, and boundary-layer moisture that determine whether the minimum settles at 78–79°F or edges into the 80–81°F bin, with final resolution hinging on official Miami observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$615End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 28 points to overnight minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s under a persistent maritime tropical air mass, with easterly winds near 5–10 mph limiting mixing and promoting modest radiative cooling after daytime highs near 90°F. Dew points holding in the mid-to-upper 70s sustain high humidity that curbs sharp drops, while any lingering afternoon convection or variable cloud cover could further moderate the low. Historical August averages near 77–78°F provide context, yet the lack of frontal intrusions or drier air keeps consensus skewed toward 78–81°F outcomes. Traders weigh subtle differences in forecast model runs for wind speed, sky cover, and boundary-layer moisture that determine whether the minimum settles at 78–79°F or edges into the 80–81°F bin, with final resolution hinging on official Miami observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$615End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 28 points to overnight minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s under a persistent maritime tropical air mass, with easterly winds near 5–10 mph limiting mixing and promoting modest radiative cooling after daytime highs near 90°F. Dew points holding in the mid-to-upper 70s sustain high humidity that curbs sharp drops, while any lingering afternoon convection or variable cloud cover could further moderate the low. Historical August averages near 77–78°F provide context, yet the lack of frontal intrusions or drier air keeps consensus skewed toward 78–81°F outcomes. Traders weigh subtle differences in forecast model runs for wind speed, sky cover, and boundary-layer moisture that determine whether the minimum settles at 78–79°F or edges into the 80–81°F bin, with final resolution hinging on official Miami observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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