Persistent high humidity and light easterly winds under the influence of a strong Bermuda High are limiting overnight radiational cooling across South Florida, keeping the minimum temperature in Miami on track for the low 80s°F. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models consistently project an overnight low near 81–82°F amid dew points around 76°F and partly cloudy skies, well above the late-August climatological average of 77–78°F. Scattered showers and thunderstorms through the afternoon have further suppressed temperature drops by maintaining elevated moisture levels. This stable subtropical pattern supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 82–83°F and 80–81°F bins, with little indication of cooler air intrusion before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 27?
82-83°F 51%
76-77°F 5%
74-75°F 4%
72-73°F <1%
$3,198 Vol.
$3,198 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
51%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 51%
76-77°F 5%
74-75°F 4%
72-73°F <1%
$3,198 Vol.
$3,198 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
51%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high humidity and light easterly winds under the influence of a strong Bermuda High are limiting overnight radiational cooling across South Florida, keeping the minimum temperature in Miami on track for the low 80s°F. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models consistently project an overnight low near 81–82°F amid dew points around 76°F and partly cloudy skies, well above the late-August climatological average of 77–78°F. Scattered showers and thunderstorms through the afternoon have further suppressed temperature drops by maintaining elevated moisture levels. This stable subtropical pattern supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 82–83°F and 80–81°F bins, with little indication of cooler air intrusion before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions