Latest National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 project partly sunny skies under a high-pressure ridge, with southwest winds of 5–10 mph and highs centered in the mid-80s at LaGuardia Airport, the market’s official resolution station. This consensus supports the tight clustering of probabilities around the 82–85°F bins, as ensemble guidance shows limited spread and low precipitation odds that favor strong daytime heating. Key differentiators include variable afternoon cloud cover or sea-breeze timing that could cap peaks near 82–83°F versus clearer conditions pushing readings into the 84–85°F range, alongside typical urban heat-island effects at the airport site. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these thresholds ahead of final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 30?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 30?
82-83°F 33%
84-85°F 27%
80-81°F 20%
86-87°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
2%
92°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 33%
84-85°F 27%
80-81°F 20%
86-87°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
73°F or below
$236 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$12 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$325 Vol.
20%
82-83°F
$315 Vol.
33%
84-85°F
$200 Vol.
27%
86-87°F
$402 Vol.
9%
88-89°F
$17 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$7 Vol.
2%
92°F or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 project partly sunny skies under a high-pressure ridge, with southwest winds of 5–10 mph and highs centered in the mid-80s at LaGuardia Airport, the market’s official resolution station. This consensus supports the tight clustering of probabilities around the 82–85°F bins, as ensemble guidance shows limited spread and low precipitation odds that favor strong daytime heating. Key differentiators include variable afternoon cloud cover or sea-breeze timing that could cap peaks near 82–83°F versus clearer conditions pushing readings into the 84–85°F range, alongside typical urban heat-island effects at the airport site. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these thresholds ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,524End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 project partly sunny skies under a high-pressure ridge, with southwest winds of 5–10 mph and highs centered in the mid-80s at LaGuardia Airport, the market’s official resolution station. This consensus supports the tight clustering of probabilities around the 82–85°F bins, as ensemble guidance shows limited spread and low precipitation odds that favor strong daytime heating. Key differentiators include variable afternoon cloud cover or sea-breeze timing that could cap peaks near 82–83°F versus clearer conditions pushing readings into the 84–85°F range, alongside typical urban heat-island effects at the airport site. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these thresholds ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,524End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 project partly sunny skies under a high-pressure ridge, with southwest winds of 5–10 mph and highs centered in the mid-80s at LaGuardia Airport, the market’s official resolution station. This consensus supports the tight clustering of probabilities around the 82–85°F bins, as ensemble guidance shows limited spread and low precipitation odds that favor strong daytime heating. Key differentiators include variable afternoon cloud cover or sea-breeze timing that could cap peaks near 82–83°F versus clearer conditions pushing readings into the 84–85°F range, alongside typical urban heat-island effects at the airport site. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these thresholds ahead of final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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